Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise

UEFA Champions League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Bodo/Glimt
32After Extra Time
Union St. Gilloise
WWWWGoals 26-11
DWWDGoals 19-11
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'Sondre Auklend
  2. 41'Jostein Gundersen (H. Aleesami)
  3. 51'Ole Didrik Blomberg (Sondre Fet)
  4. 61'Promise David (Mohammed Fuseini)
  5. 62'Guilherme Smith (D. Olaru)
  6. 70'Sondre Auklend (J. Kitolano)
  7. 70'O. Brynhildsen (Andreas Helmersen)
  8. 71'Adem Zorgane (R. Schoofs)
  9. 75'D. Olaru (M. Biondic)
  10. 76'Jens Petter Hauge (Andreas Helmersen)
  11. 82'Kamiel Van De Perre
  12. 88'Mohammed Fuseini (L. Patris)
  13. 90+7'Guilherme Smith
  14. 90+8'Kamiel Van De Perre
  15. 91'Besfort Zeneli (Relebohile Mofokeng)
  16. 92'H. Aleesami
  17. 103'Fredrik André Bjørkan (Isak Dybvik Määttä)
  18. 104'Sondre Fet (Ulrik Saltnes)
  19. 117'Andreas Helmersen
  20. 118'K. Mac Allister
  21. 120+1'L. Patris (Raul Florucz)
  22. 120+1'Jens Petter Hauge (Villads Nielsen)
  23. 120+2'Guilherme Smith (Ousseynou Niang)

Lineups

Bodo/GlimtUnion St. Gilloise
2.6
Goals/game
1.9
1.1
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Bodo/Glimt win
57.56%
Draw
21.15%
Union St. Gilloise win
21.29%
65.5%BTTS
65.1%Over 2.5
22.3%Bodo/Glimt clean sheet
15.7%Union St. Gilloise clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Bodo/Glimt has a stronger attack, averaging 2.4 goals over their last 10 matches compared to Union St. Gilloise's 2.0. Union St. Gilloise's recent defensive performance, allowing 1.1 goals per game, could be vulnerable against Bodo/Glimt's form. The previous head-to-head yielded a goalless draw, indicating that strong defenses are at play. However, with Bodo/Glimt's recent successful run, they might hold the slight edge.

  • Bodo/Glimt scored 2.4 goals on average in their last 10 matches
  • Union St. Gilloise conceded 1.1 goals on average in their last 10 matches
  • Recent head-to-head results include a 0-0 draw
  • Bodo/Glimt won 4 out of their last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
84/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bodo/Glimt

  • Good recent formBodo/Glimt

    Bodo/Glimt have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackBodo/Glimt

    Bodo/Glimt are averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.6/game
  • Tighter defenseUnion St. Gilloise

    Union St. Gilloise are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Bodo/Glimt at 57.56% — final result was Bodo/Glimt win, Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Union St. Gilloise.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (84/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bodo/Glimt1.63market 61.4% · model 57.56%
Draw4.22market 23.7% · model 21.15%
Union St. Gilloise4.63market 21.6% · model 21.29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bodo/Glimt have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Union St. Gilloise have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Bodo/Glimt wins
1Draws
0Union St. Gilloise wins
0-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bodo/Glimt1.63best 1.67
Draw4.22best 4.52
Union St. Gilloise4.63best 4.87

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.56best 1.61
Under 2.52.38best 2.46

Both teams to score

Yes1.59best 1.62
No2.23best 2.28

Double chance

Bodo/Glimt/Draw1.19best 1.21
Bodo/Glimt/Union St. Gilloise1.20best 1.24
Draw/Union St. Gilloise2.23best 2.32

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.00best 6.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bodo/Glimt1.63 0.03
Draw4.22 0.14
Union St. Gilloise4.63 0.23
9 Aug11 Aug

Model vs market

Bodo/Glimt win+0.1pp
AI
57.56%
Market
57.5%
Draw-1.1pp
AI
21.15%
Market
22.2%
Union St. Gilloise win+1.1pp
AI
21.29%
Market
20.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.1Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

I. Kovacs

4.85Yellow cards / game
0.19Red cards / game
0.3Penalties scored / game

Based on 27 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Bodo/Glimt

0-15'
7.7%
16-30'
23.1%
31-45'
30.8%
46-60'
23.1%
61-75'
7.7%
76-90+'
7.7%

Union St. Gilloise

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
40%

More UEFA Champions League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?+

Our AI model favors Bodo/Glimt to win, with a 57.56% probability (Draw 21.15%, Union St. Gilloise 21.29%).

What time does Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).