Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat

First League· Regular Season - 4
Bokelj
00Full-time
Arsenal Tivat
DWWLGoals 11-73rd in league
LWLDGoals 11-116th in league
Home1W 1D 0L(1-0)
Away0W 3D 0L(0-0)
Stadion pod Vrmcem

Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor · Capacity 5,000 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time
Lineups unavailable for this match.
BokeljArsenal Tivat
1.1
Goals/game
1.1
0.7
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Bokelj win
42%
Draw
30%
Arsenal Tivat win
28%
39.6%BTTS
32.3%Over 2.5
40.7%Bokelj clean sheet
33.3%Arsenal Tivat clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

Data suggests that Bokelj's strong home record and recent form give them an advantage in this matchup. Meanwhile, Arsenal Tivat has struggled, evidenced by their winless streak and tendency to draw on the road. Overall, the statistics favor Bokelj to edge out a narrow victory.

  • Bokelj has a perfect home record this season with 1 win from 1 match.
  • Arsenal Tivat is currently winless in their last 3 matches.
  • Historically, Bokelj has won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Arsenal Tivat.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bokelj

  • Strong home recordBokelj

    Bokelj have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.

    1/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordArsenal Tivat

    Arsenal Tivat have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.

    0/3 away wins
  • Good recent formBokelj

    Bokelj have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Higher league positionBokelj

    Bokelj sit 3 places above Arsenal Tivat in the table.

    #3 vs #6

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Bokelj at 42% — final result was a draw, Bokelj 0-0 Arsenal Tivat.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bokelj2.18market 45.9% · model 42%
Draw2.97market 33.6% · model 30%
Arsenal Tivat3.23market 30.9% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bokelj have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Arsenal Tivat have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Bokelj wins
2Draws
4Arsenal Tivat wins
9-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bokelj2.18best 2.25
Draw2.97best 3.09
Arsenal Tivat3.23best 3.32

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.45best 2.51
Under 2.51.47best 1.50

Both teams to score

Yes2.06best 2.12
No1.64best 1.67

Double chance

Bokelj/Draw1.27best 1.30
Bokelj/Arsenal Tivat1.31best 1.36
Draw/Arsenal Tivat1.58best 1.62

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bokelj2.18 0.01
Draw2.97 0.04
Arsenal Tivat3.23 0.08
22 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Bokelj win+0.4pp
AI
42%
Market
41.6%
Draw-0.5pp
AI
30%
Market
30.5%
Arsenal Tivat win0pp
AI
28%
Market
28%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
3
Bokelj
4211+17DLWW
6
Arsenal Tivat
404004DDDD

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game1.1
0.7Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Bokelj

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More First League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat?+

Our AI model favors Bokelj to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 30%, Arsenal Tivat 28%).

Where is Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat played?+

The match is played at Stadion pod Vrmcem, Kotor (capacity 5,000).

What time does Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).