Boston River vs Danubio

Primera División· Clausura - 2
Boston River
00Full-time
Danubio
LWWWGoals 17-182nd in league
LLDWGoals 14-148th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(0-0)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 42'M. Rivero
  2. 58'N. Siri (F. Bonfiglio)
  3. 68'John Kleber (Hugo Silveira)
  4. 68'E. Cabrera (B. Pereira)
  5. 68'B. Tomatis (D. Piriz)
  6. 69'I. Rossi
  7. 71'A. Velazquez (E. Figueroa)
  8. 74'F. Aristegui (Y. Gonzalez)
  9. 76'M. Peralta (L. Sosa)
  10. 82'F. Munoa (A. Lima)
  11. 82'L. Vazquez (A. Fernandez)
  12. 84'E. Femia
  13. 90+1'M. Brasil
  14. 90+3'F. Bonfiglio
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Boston RiverDanubio
1.7
Goals/game
1.4
1.8
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Boston River win
40%
Draw
30%
Danubio win
30%
62.9%BTTS
61%Over 2.5
20.2%Boston River clean sheet
21.2%Danubio clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests that Boston River and Danubio are both struggling to find form, with Boston River recording three losses in their last five matches while Danubio has managed just one victory. Historically, Danubio has had the upper hand in their recent head-to-head encounters, winning twice. With both teams having negative goal differences, a low-scoring match appears likely, leading to a predicted score of 1-1.

  • Boston River has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Danubio has only managed 1 win in their last 5 matches
  • Historically, the last 5 encounters show 2 wins for Danubio, making them favored in head-to-head clashes
  • Boston River has a negative goal difference of -5 this season, while Danubio's is -9.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Boston River

  • Higher league positionBoston River

    Boston River sit 6 places above Danubio in the table.

    #2 vs #8
  • Good recent formBoston River

    Boston River have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackBoston River

    Boston River are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseDanubio

    Danubio are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Boston River at 40% — final result was a draw, Boston River 0-0 Danubio.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Boston River2.33market 43% · model 40%
Danubio3.00market 33.3% · model 30%
Draw3.02market 33.1% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Boston River have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Danubio have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Boston River wins
4Draws
2Danubio wins
9-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Boston River2.33best 2.46
Draw3.02best 3.15
Danubio3.00best 3.22

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.20best 2.31
Under 2.51.62best 1.67

Both teams to score

Yes1.87best 1.92
No1.82best 1.86

Double chance

Boston River/Draw1.34best 1.40
Boston River/Danubio1.32best 1.36
Draw/Danubio1.52best 1.57

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Boston River2.33 0.04
Draw3.02 0.08
Danubio3.00 0.12
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Boston River win+0.7pp
AI
40%
Market
39.3%
Draw-0.3pp
AI
30%
Market
30.3%
Danubio win-0.4pp
AI
30%
Market
30.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Boston River
3210+27WDW
8
Danubio
7043-44LDDD

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game1.4
1.8Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Feres

5.85Yellow cards / game
0.46Red cards / game
0.38Penalties scored / game

Based on 13 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Boston River

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

Danubio

0-15'
0%
16-30'
66.7%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Boston River vs Danubio?+

Our AI model favors Boston River to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, Danubio 30%).

What time does Boston River vs Danubio kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).