Bradford vs Burnley

League Cup· Round of 64
Bradford
00After Penalties
Burnley
LWWWGoals 11-8
DWDLGoals 9-20
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 44'H. Cartwright
  2. 62'J. Beesley (N. Powell)
  3. 62'Kayden Jackson (J. Neufville)
  4. 62'H. Cartwright (Callumm Connolly)
  5. 62'G. Lapslie (A. Sarcevic)
  6. 80'A. Broja (Z. Flemming)
  7. 80'U. Raghouber (H. Mejbri)
  8. 80'D. Satpaev (Jacob Bruun Larsen)
  9. 80'M. Tresor Ndayishimiye (Marcus Edwards)
  10. 83'W. Swan (B. Pointon)
  11. 90+3'I. Touray
  12. 90'C. Roberts (K. Walker)
  13. 120+1'Z. Flemming
  14. 120+1'A. Sarcevic
  15. 120+2'Z. Amdouni
  16. 120+2'M. Gillesphey
  17. 120+3'Jacob Bruun Larsen
  18. 120+3'I. Touray
  19. 120+4'Marcus Edwards
  20. 120+4'A. Phillips

Lineups

BradfordBurnley
1.1
Goals/game
0.9
0.8
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

Bradford win
29%
Draw
28%
Burnley win
43%
45.1%BTTS
43%Over 2.5
42.7%Bradford clean sheet
21.2%Burnley clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Bradford has shown improved form with three wins out of their last five matches, but their scoring average remains low at 1.1 goals per game. In contrast, Burnley appears vulnerable defensively, conceding 2 goals per game lately, despite creating more chances with an average xG of 2.33. The numbers favor Burnley for this encounter, as their overall form and prior performance indicate a higher likelihood of success.

  • Bradford has won 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Burnley has only scored 1 goal in their last 3 matches.
  • Burnley's defensive record shows an average of 2 goals conceded per game over the last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
58/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Burnley

  • Tighter defenseBradford

    Bradford are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Good recent formBradford

    Bradford have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackBradford

    Bradford are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Burnley at 43% — final result was a draw, Bradford 0-0 Burnley.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (58/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Burnley2.18market 45.8% · model 43%
Bradford3.28market 30.5% · model 29%
Draw3.34market 29.9% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bradford have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Burnley have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bradford3.28best 3.50
Draw3.34best 3.47
Burnley2.18best 2.28

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.94best 2.00
Under 2.51.83best 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes1.72best 1.75
No2.01best 2.10

Double chance

Bradford/Draw1.65best 1.72
Bradford/Burnley1.30best 1.36
Draw/Burnley1.33best 1.37

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.77best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.35best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.98best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.23best 1.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bradford3.28 0.16
Draw3.34 0.02
Burnley2.18 0.01
23 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Bradford win+0.3pp
AI
29%
Market
28.7%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
28%
Market
28.2%
Burnley win-0.1pp
AI
43%
Market
43.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game0.9
0.8Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Coy

3.12Yellow cards / game
0.12Red cards / game
0.29Penalties scored / game

Based on 17 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Bradford

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
66.7%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

Burnley

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bradford vs Burnley?+

Our AI model favors Burnley to win, with a 43% probability (Draw 28%, Bradford 29%).

What time does Bradford vs Burnley kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).