Bregalnica Štip vs Bashkimi Kumanovo
Value found
+7.5% edgeBashkimi Kumanovo win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 0.7
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-0
The data suggests a strong likelihood of a home victory for Bregalnica Štip, especially given their perfect home record so far. Bashkimi Kumanovo's recent form has been poor, with three consecutive losses and significant struggles on the road, which may limit their chances in this matchup. Overall, the numbers indicate that Bregalnica could secure a 2-0 win based on scoring and defensive trends.
- Bregalnica Štip has won their only home match this season.
- Bashkimi Kumanovo has lost all three matches this season, conceding a total of 12 goals.
- Historically, Bashkimi has struggled in away games, evidenced by their recent averages of 0.7 scored and 2 conceded per match.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Bregalnica Štip
- Strong home recordBregalnica Štip
Bregalnica Štip have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.
2/2 home wins - Weak away recordBashkimi Kumanovo
Bashkimi Kumanovo have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins - Poor recent formBashkimi Kumanovo
Bashkimi Kumanovo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Higher league positionBregalnica Štip
Bregalnica Štip sit 5 places above Bashkimi Kumanovo in the table.
#5 vs #10
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Bregalnica Štip at 66% — final result was Bregalnica Štip win, Bregalnica Štip 3-0 Bashkimi Kumanovo.
Predicted score was 2-0.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Bregalnica Štip have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Bashkimi Kumanovo have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 9 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Bregalnica Štip | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | WLWL |
| 10 |  Bashkimi Kumanovo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -15 | 0 | LLLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Bregalnica Štip
More First League predictions
Sileks
Shkendija
StrugaBregalnica Štip
Aresimi
SkopjeBashkimi Kumanovo
Shkëndija HaraçinëFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Bregalnica Štip vs Bashkimi Kumanovo?+
Our AI model favors Bregalnica Štip to win, with a 66% probability (Draw 19%, Bashkimi Kumanovo 15%).
What time does Bregalnica Štip vs Bashkimi Kumanovo kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).