Breidablik vs Fram Reykjavik — Úrvalsdeild

Úrvalsdeild· Regular Season - 20

Breidablik

3–4Full-time

Fram Reykjavik

DLLWLDGoals 16-194th in league

LWDWLWGoals 18-203rd in league

Home6W 1D 3L(25-19)

Away7W 2D 1L(23-16)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

6'D. Ingvarsson (K. Kristinsson)
15'R. Hauksson
17'H. Asgrimsson (R. Hauksson)
25'D. Ingvarsson
34'Þorleifur Úlfarsson
34'V. Dimitrijevic
45'K. Chopart
46'G. Hallsson (V. Einarsson)
56'D. Ingvarsson (H. Gunnlaugsson)
58'K. Konradsson (M. Aegisson)
59'Þorleifur Úlfarsson (O. Omarsson)
63'T. Thorbjornsson
69'K. Jonsson (A. Ludviksson)
70'J. Arnarsson (D. Fjeldsted)
74'F. Sigurdsson (Israel García)
74'V. Dimitrijevic (J. Bystrom)
87'D. Fjeldsted
87'R. Hauksson (B. Runolfsson)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

BreidablikFram Reykjavik

1.6
Goals/game: 1.8; 1.9
Conceded/game: 2.0

AI match analysis

Breidablik win

38%

Draw

24%

Fram Reykjavik win

38%

70.3%BTTS

70.6%Over 2.5

15.7%Breidablik clean sheet

16.5%Fram Reykjavik clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-2

Data suggests a competitive match, with both teams showing solid recent form. Breidablik maintains a strong home record, although Fram Reykjavik has been effective away, leading to a balanced outlook. The scoring trends in past encounters indicate a likelihood of goals, possibly resulting in a draw.

Fram Reykjavik unbeaten in last 5 away games
Breidablik has won last 2 home matches against Fram Reykjavik
Recent head-to-head matches have been high-scoring

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

66/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Breidablik

Historical edgeBreidablik
Breidablik have won 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
5/7 H2H wins
Sharper attackFram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game
Tighter defenseBreidablik
Breidablik are conceding just 1.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game conceded
Higher league positionFram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik sit 1 place above Breidablik in the table.
#3 vs #4

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Breidablik at 38% — final result was Fram Reykjavik win, Breidablik 3-4 Fram Reykjavik.

Predicted score was 2-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Breidablik2.36market 42.4% · model 38%

Fram Reykjavik ✓2.42market 41.4% · model 38%

Draw3.83market 26.1% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Breidablik have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Fram Reykjavik have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

5Breidablik wins

1Draws

1Fram Reykjavik wins

18-13Goals

Breidablik

3–1Oct 5, 2025, 7:15 PM

Fram Reykjavik

Breidablik

1–1Jun 23, 2025, 7:15 PM

Fram Reykjavik

4–2Apr 13, 2025, 7:15 PM

Breidablik

Fram Reykjavik

0–1Jul 14, 2023, 8:15 PM

Breidablik

5–4Apr 28, 2023, 8:00 PM

Fram Reykjavik

0–2Aug 22, 2022, 7:15 PM

Breidablik

4–3May 22, 2022, 7:15 PM

Fram Reykjavik

Odds comparison

Match winner

Breidablik2.36▼best 2.48

Draw3.83▼best 4.00

Fram Reykjavik2.42▲best 2.55

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.28best 1.34

Under 2.53.25▼best 3.60

Both teams to score

Yes1.28▲best 1.30

No3.23▼best 3.42

Double chance

Breidablik/Draw1.50▼best 1.55

Breidablik/Fram Reykjavik1.20best 1.25

Draw/Fram Reykjavik1.51▲best 1.57

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14▲best 1.14

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00▼best 5.00

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.50best 5.50

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.12best 1.12

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Breidablik2.36▼ 0.09

Draw3.83▼ 0.04

Fram Reykjavik2.42▲ 0.13

21 Aug – 24 Aug

Model vs market

Breidablik win-0.6pp

38%

Market

38.6%

Draw+0.2pp

24%

Market

23.8%

Fram Reykjavik win+0.4pp

38%

Market

37.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.