Brinje-Grosuplje vs Mura — 1. SNL

1. SNL· Regular Season - 5

Brinje-Grosuplje

1–2Full-time

Mura

DLGoals 3-59th in league

DLWLLLGoals 9-158th in league

Home0W 1D 1L(2-3)

Away1W 1D 1L(6-8)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

11'Maj Rorič
15'D. Ivkic
18'S. Butic
46'N. Koren (I. Krolo)
46'Maj Rorič (R. Maher)
47'I. Krolo
52'N. Kouter (A. Kozar)
59'N. Pusnik
64'A. Korošec
65'L. Kitin
66'N. Kasalo
70'K. Benkic (M. Matko)
70'N. Jovicevic (J. Kovac)
76'S. Butic (L. Bobičanec)
76'K. Kurtovic (M. Ascic)
76'A. Zalaznik (F. Jevsenak)
76'V. Hojc (N. Zrnec)
79'F. Jevsenak
81'N. Kasalo (P. Pfeifer)
87'I. Krolo

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Brinje-GrosupljeMura

1.5
Goals/game: 0.9; 2.5
Conceded/game: 1.5

AI match analysis

Brinje-Grosuplje win

39.9%

Draw

28.21%

Mura win

31.89%

63.5%BTTS

62%Over 2.5

18.3%Brinje-Grosuplje clean sheet

22.3%Mura clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup between Brinje-Grosuplje and Mura, with both teams struggling to find consistent form. Brinje-Grosuplje managed a draw in their last outing, while Mura's recent performances reflect difficulties, especially in defense. Given these factors, a low-scoring affair appears probable, potentially leading to a draw.

Brinje-Grosuplje has drawn their last match 1-1 away against Bravo.
Mura's recent form shows two consecutive losses but also a win over Maribor.
Mura has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over the last 10 matches.
Brinje-Grosuplje has a home record of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses this season.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Brinje-Grosuplje

Higher league positionMura
Mura sit 1 place above Brinje-Grosuplje in the table.
#8 vs #9
Poor recent formMura
Mura have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Sharper attackMura
Mura are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game
Tighter defenseBrinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje are conceding just 2.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
2.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Brinje-Grosuplje has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Brinje-Grosuplje at 39.9% — final result was Mura win, Brinje-Grosuplje 1-2 Mura.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Brinje-Grosuplje2.29market 43.6% · model 39.9%

Mura ✓2.87market 34.8% · model 31.89%

Draw3.16market 31.6% · model 28.21%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Brinje-Grosuplje have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
Mura have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Brinje-Grosuplje2.29▲best 2.40

Draw3.16▲best 3.32

Mura2.87▼best 3.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.94▲best 2.04

Under 2.51.79▼best 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes1.72▼best 1.74

No1.97▲best 2.01

Double chance

Brinje-Grosuplje/Draw1.35▲best 1.40

Brinje-Grosuplje/Mura1.29best 1.36

Draw/Mura1.53▼best 1.60

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00▲best 3.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36▼best 1.36

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Brinje-Grosuplje2.29

Draw3.16▲ 0.06

Mura2.87▼ 0.07

13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Brinje-Grosuplje win+0.3pp

39.9%

Market

39.6%

Draw-0.5pp

28.21%

Market

28.7%

Mura win+0.3pp

31.89%

Market

31.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.