Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns

AFL Premiership· Regular Season 23
LWWWPoints 1189-8203rd on the ladder · 16-7-0
LWLWPoints 778-97813th on the ladder · 9-14-0
Home14W 0D 6L(2052-1593)
Away6W 0D 14L(1507-1839)

Gabba

Today
First Bounce
In Progress
Final

Score

TeamGoalsBehindsFinal
Brisbane Lions
141195
Gold Coast Suns
61753

AI match analysis

Brisbane Lions win
68%
Draw
12%
Gold Coast Suns win
20%

Predicted score: 92-72

Data suggests that the Brisbane Lions are in strong form, having won 3 out of their last 5 matches by significant margins. Conversely, the Gold Coast Suns have faced difficulties on the road, with recent losses impacting their confidence. Historically, Brisbane has dominated their encounters with the Suns, further strengthening the expectation of a home victory.

  • Brisbane Lions have won 3 of their last 5 matches convincingly.
  • Gold Coast Suns have struggled in recent away games, losing 4 out of 5.
  • Historically, Brisbane Lions have outscored Gold Coast Suns in head-to-head matchups in the last 5 meetings.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Brisbane Lions

  • Tighter defenseGold Coast Suns

    Gold Coast Suns are conceding just 97.8 points per game over their recent matches.

    97.8/game conceded
  • Historical edgeBrisbane Lions

    Brisbane Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formBrisbane Lions

    Brisbane Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Poor recent formGold Coast Suns

    Gold Coast Suns have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Brisbane Lions at 68% — final result was Brisbane Lions win, Brisbane Lions 95-53 Gold Coast Suns.

Predicted score was 92-72.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Match trends

  • Brisbane Lions have averaged 118.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Gold Coast Suns have averaged 77.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Brisbane Lions are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Gold Coast Suns.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Brisbane Lions wins
0Draws
1Gold Coast Suns wins
429-366Points

Ladder

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Fremantle Dockers
231904+62076WLWW
2
Sydney Swans
231805+67472WWWW
3
Brisbane Lions
231607+44564WWLW
4
Hawthorn Hawks
231526+37964DLWW
5
Geelong Cats
231508+43060WWWW
6
Adelaide Crows
231508+32060LWWL
7
Melbourne Demons
231508+20260WWWL
8
Western Bulldogs
231319-9154DLLW
9
Collingwood Magpies
231229+4752DWLW
10
Carlton Blues
2312110+2950DWWW
11
St Kilda Saints
2310013+5640WLLW
12
Greater Western Sydney Giants
2310013-2240WLWL
13
Gold Coast Suns
239014-11736LWLL
14
North Melbourne Kangaroos
239014-24336LWLL
15
Port Adelaide Power
237016-24528LLLL
16
West Coast Eagles
234019-71816LLLL
17
Richmond Tigers
233020-89012LLWL
18
Essendon Bombers
232021-8768LLLL

More AFL Premiership predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns?+

Our AI model favors Brisbane Lions to win, with a 68% probability (Gold Coast Suns 32%).

What time does Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns start?+

First bounce is at Aug 15, 2026, 6:15 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the final score in Brisbane Lions vs Gold Coast Suns?+

Brisbane Lions: 14.11 (95). Gold Coast Suns: 6.17 (53).