Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

USL Championship· Group Stage
LGoals 1-212th in league
WDWLGoals 10-44th in league
Home2W 1D 6L(6-9)
Away4W 2D 5L(11-13)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 49'O. Mikoy
  2. 62'S. Stojanovic (P. da Silva)
  3. 63'E. Goldthorp (C. Ahl)
  4. 63'Y. Tsukanome (Brunallergene Junior Etou)
  5. 70'Tommy McNamara (J. Servania)
  6. 74'J. Wälti
  7. 83'S. Bassett
  8. 89'Markus Anderson (J. Obregón Jr)
  9. 89'Gabriel Alves (S. Nishikawa)
  10. 90'S. Bassett (G. Vacter)
  11. 90'R. McLaughlin (Malik Pinto)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
BrooklynPittsburgh Riverhounds
1.0
Goals/game
1.0
2.0
Conceded/game
0.4

AI match analysis

Brooklyn win
32%
Draw
29%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win
39%
39.1%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
22.3%Brooklyn clean sheet
49.7%Pittsburgh Riverhounds clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Pittsburgh Riverhounds are in better recent form, having secured points in their last five matches. Conversely, Brooklyn has struggled, managing only one draw in their last four games, and has a negative goal differential at home. The scoring metrics indicate that Pittsburgh is more defensively solid, which may translate into an advantage in this matchup.

  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds unbeaten in last 5 matches
  • Brooklyn has lost 3 of their last 4 games
  • Pittsburgh averaging 1 goal scored and 0.5 conceded in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
66/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Pittsburgh Riverhounds

  • Poor recent formBrooklyn

    Brooklyn have lost 1 of their last 1 matches.

    0W 0D 1L
  • Good recent formPittsburgh Riverhounds

    Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Tighter defensePittsburgh Riverhounds

    Pittsburgh Riverhounds are conceding just 0.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.4/game conceded
  • Higher league positionPittsburgh Riverhounds

    Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 8 places above Brooklyn in the table.

    #4 vs #12

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Brooklyn has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Pittsburgh Riverhounds at 39% — final result was Pittsburgh Riverhounds win, Brooklyn 0-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Pittsburgh Riverhounds2.51market 39.8% · model 39%
Brooklyn2.65market 37.7% · model 32%
Draw3.13market 32% · model 29%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Brooklyn have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 1 matches.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Brooklyn2.65best 2.75
Draw3.13best 3.30
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2.51best 2.64

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.08best 2.15
Under 2.51.68best 1.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.82best 1.91
No1.87best 1.95

Double chance

Brooklyn/Draw1.45best 1.53
Brooklyn/Pittsburgh Riverhounds1.30best 1.36
Draw/Pittsburgh Riverhounds1.40best 1.45

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.28best 1.28
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.50best 3.50
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Brooklyn2.65 0.11
Draw3.13 0.01
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2.51 0.14
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Brooklyn win-2.4pp
AI
32%
Market
34.4%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
29%
Market
29.2%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win+2.6pp
AI
39%
Market
36.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
12
Brooklyn
193412-1713LLLD
4
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
221039+233WWDW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1
2Goals conceded per game0.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 1 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

C. Radosav

4.56Yellow cards / game
0.22Red cards / game
0.33Penalties scored / game

Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Brooklyn

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

0-15'
25%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

More USL Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?+

Our AI model favors Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 29%, Brooklyn 32%).

What time does Brooklyn vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).