Budapest Honved vs Vasas

NB I· Regular Season - 4
Budapest Honved
12Full-time
Vasas
DLLDGoals 10-1511th in league
LDWLGoals 14-103rd in league
Home0W 1D 1L(4-5)
Away1W 1D 0L(2-1)
Bozsik Arena

Bozsik Arena, Budapest · Capacity 8,200 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 27'A. Alić (S. Hangya)
  2. 46'S. Hangya (P. Garcia)
  3. 56'K. Kallai
  4. 57'M. Kovácsréti (R. Horvath)
  5. 57'B. Rab (S. Mezei)
  6. 59'P. Garcia
  7. 60'M. Koszta
  8. 60'D. Boldor
  9. 75'A. Alić (P. Pinte)
  10. 75'K. Kallai (B. Pauljević)
  11. 76'Dominik Csontos
  12. 78'M. Toth (M. Toth)
  13. 81'M. Koszta (B. Petho)
  14. 81'D. Csóka
  15. 89'A. Szamosi (K. Kantor)
  16. 89'D. Boldor (Z. Medgyes)
  17. 90+7'Á. Baki
  18. 90+8'D. Csóka
  19. 90+8'J. Urblik (V. Gey)
  20. 90+9'B. Petho
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Budapest HonvedVasas
1.0
Goals/game
1.4
1.5
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Budapest Honved win
36%
Draw
28%
Vasas win
36%
48.4%BTTS
44.3%Over 2.5
23.5%Budapest Honved clean sheet
36.8%Vasas clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive matchup as both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Budapest Honved winless in their last three matches while Vasas has managed one win in similar circumstances. Historically, their encounters lean slightly towards Honved, but considering current form and scoring averages, a draw appears plausible.

  • Budapest Honved is winless in their last 3 matches
  • Vasas has scored an average of 1.5 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Historically, both teams have closely contested matches with recent heads-up favoring Honved
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Budapest Honved

  • Historical edgeBudapest Honved

    Budapest Honved have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Sharper attackVasas

    Vasas are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game
  • Higher league positionVasas

    Vasas sit 8 places above Budapest Honved in the table.

    #3 vs #11
  • Tighter defenseVasas

    Vasas are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Budapest Honved at 36% — final result was Vasas win, Budapest Honved 1-2 Vasas.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Vasas2.49market 40.1% · model 36%
Budapest Honved2.56market 39.1% · model 36%
Draw3.33market 30.1% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Budapest Honved have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Vasas have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Budapest Honved wins
0Draws
3Vasas wins
12-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Budapest Honved2.56best 2.66
Draw3.33best 3.55
Vasas2.49best 2.60

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.71best 1.75
Under 2.52.07best 2.18

Both teams to score

Yes1.57best 1.62
No2.24best 2.32

Double chance

Budapest Honved/Draw1.45best 1.52
Budapest Honved/Vasas1.27best 1.31
Draw/Vasas1.45best 1.52

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Budapest Honved2.56 0.06
Draw3.33 0.01
Vasas2.49 0.03
12 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Budapest Honved win+0.2pp
AI
36%
Market
35.8%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
28%
Market
27.5%
Vasas win-0.7pp
AI
36%
Market
36.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
Budapest Honved
4031-13LDDD
3
Vasas
5221+58WWDD

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.4
1.5Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Vasas

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

More NB I predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Budapest Honved vs Vasas?+

Our AI model favors Budapest Honved to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 28%, Vasas 36%).

Where is Budapest Honved vs Vasas played?+

The match is played at Bozsik Arena, Budapest (capacity 8,200).

What time does Budapest Honved vs Vasas kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).