Burgos vs Cordoba
Match events
- 11'Youssouf Diarra (Cristian Carracedo)
- 22'Rubén
- 24'Álex Forés (Curro)
- 29'Kevin Appin
- 35'Youssouf Diarra
- 37'Javi Llabrés
- 45+5'Eder Garcia (E. Munoz)
- 67'Javi Llabrés (V. Mollejo)
- 74'Enol Rodríguez (Kevin Medina)
- 74'V. Sanchez (Diego Percan)
- 76'Eder Garcia
- 77'José Gragera (Marcelo Expósito)
- 77'Álex Forés (S. Lencina)
- 77'Eder Garcia (A. Ghailan)
- 77'Kevin Appin (Pablo Galdames)
- 84'E. Munoz (Carlos Albarrán)
- 84'Juan Gutiérrez (Álex Martín)
- 90+4'Curro (Mateo Mejia)
- 90'David González (V. Mollejo)
Lineups
- 0.7
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 0.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests that Burgos enters this matchup in solid form, remaining unbeaten in their last five outings, including a strong recent home record. Cordoba's away struggles are apparent, with two losses in their last three games on the road, which gives Burgos an edge. Historically, the head-to-head results have favored Burgos, complicating Cordoba's position. Therefore, a closely contested match with a predicted score of 1-1 seems probable.
- Burgos unbeaten in last 5 matches across all competitions
- Burgos has a strong recent home record with 3 wins and 2 draws
- Cordoba has lost 2 of their last 3 matches away from home
- Head-to-head history favors Burgos with 4 wins in the last 4 meetings
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Burgos
- Good recent formBurgos
Burgos have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Tighter defenseBurgos
Burgos are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.5/game conceded - Historical edgeBurgos
Burgos have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionCordoba
Cordoba sit 1 place above Burgos in the table.
#10 vs #11
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Burgos at 41% — final result was Burgos win, Burgos 3-2 Cordoba.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Burgos have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cordoba have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Cordoba
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EldenseFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Burgos vs Cordoba?+
Our AI model favors Burgos to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 30%, Cordoba 29%).
What time does Burgos vs Cordoba kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).