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Burnley vs West Ham

Championship· Regular Season - 1
Burnley
2–2Full-time
West Ham
DWLLGoals 7-1817th in league
WWLWGoals 18-1216th in league
Home0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Away0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Turf Moor

Turf Moor, Burnley · Capacity 22,546 · grass · Referee: Josh Smith

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 10'Max Kilman (Jarrod Bowen)
  2. 33'Mohamadou Kante
  3. 46'Pablo Felipe (James Ward-Prowse)
  4. 57'Ugo Raghouber (Josh Laurent)
  5. 57'Hannibal Mejbri (Zeki Amdouni)
  6. 66'Taty Castellanos
  7. 72'M. Solomon
  8. 76'Aaron Ramsey (A. Broja)
  9. 77'Bashir Humphreys (Lucas Pires)
  10. 82'Jacob Bruun Larsen (M. Ndayishimiye)
  11. 83'Zian Flemming
  12. 84'Zian Flemming
  13. 84'Mads Hermansen
  14. 87'Ollie Scarles (El Hadji Malick Diouf)
  15. 89'M. Solomon (Joël Veltman)
  16. 90+2'Zian Flemming (Max Alleyne)
  17. 90+3'Mads Hermansen
  18. 90+5'El Hadji Malick Diouf

Lineups

Burnley
West Ham
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
6.2
1. M. Weiß
6.9← 77'
6. Bashir Humphreys
3
6.6
3. Max Alleyne
2
6.9C
2. K. Walker
6.2
22. Oliver Sonne
8
6.5← 57'
8. Ugo Raghouber
28
6.7← 57'
28. Hannibal Mejbri
7.3← 82'
7. Jacob Bruun Larsen
21
6.9← 76'
21. Aaron Ramsey
10
7.5
10. Marcus Edwards
19
8.3
19. Zian Flemming
6.6
11. Taty Castellanos
6.3← 46'
19. Pablo Felipe
10
7.9← 89'
10. M. Solomon
17
6.5
17. Mohamadou Kante
61
6.6
61. Lewis Orford
7.2C
20. Jarrod Bowen
6.9← 87'
30. Ollie Scarles
7.3
3. Max Kilman
6.9
15. Konstantinos Mavropanos
2
6.2
2. Kyle Walker-Peters
6.9
1. Mads Hermansen
Nicky HayenCoachNuno Espírito Santo
Bench (9)
Bench (9)
BurnleyWest Ham
0.7
Goals/game
1.8
1.8
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Burnley win
29%
Draw
27%
West Ham win
44%
51.2%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
16.5%Burnley clean sheet
38.7%West Ham clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The analysis suggests that West Ham holds an edge over Burnley based on their recent head-to-head encounters, winning three of the last five matchups. Additionally, West Ham's scoring average of 1.4 goals per game compared to Burnley's 0.7 indicates a likely advantage in offensive capability, particularly as both teams start the season without any points.

  • West Ham won 3 of last 5 head-to-head encounters
  • Burnley averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in last 10 matches
  • West Ham averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors West Ham

  • Historical edgeWest Ham

    West Ham have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formBurnley

    Burnley have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Good recent formWest Ham

    West Ham have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackWest Ham

    West Ham are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked West Ham at 44% — final result was a draw, Burnley 2-2 West Ham.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

West Ham2.18market 46% · model 44%
Burnley3.18market 31.4% · model 29%
Draw ✓3.43market 29.2% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Burnley have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • West Ham have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Burnley wins
3Draws
5West Ham wins
7-13Goals
Burnley
0–2Feb 7, 2026, 3:00 PM
West Ham
West Ham
3–2Nov 8, 2025, 3:00 PM
Burnley
West Ham
2–2Mar 10, 2024, 2:00 PM
Burnley
Burnley
1–2Nov 25, 2023, 3:00 PM
West Ham
West Ham
1–1Apr 17, 2022, 1:15 PM
Burnley
Burnley
0–0Dec 12, 2021, 2:00 PM
West Ham
Burnley
1–2May 3, 2021, 7:15 PM
West Ham
West Ham
1–0Jan 16, 2021, 3:00 PM
Burnley

Odds comparison

Match winner

Burnley3.18▲best 3.35
Draw3.43best 3.55
West Ham2.18▼best 2.23

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.78▼best 1.83
Under 2.52.02▲best 2.07

Both teams to score

Yes1.61▼best 1.62
No2.22▲best 2.30

Double chance

Burnley/Draw1.66▲best 1.70
Burnley/West Ham1.28▲best 1.30
Draw/West Ham1.33▼best 1.37

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.31▲best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.23▼best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.17best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.20best 1.20

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Burnley3.18▲ 0.33
Draw3.43▼ 0.07
West Ham2.18▼ 0.12
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Burnley win-0.5pp
AI
29%
Market
29.5%
Draw-0.4pp
AI
27%
Market
27.4%
West Ham win+0.9pp
AI
44%
Market
43.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
17
Burnley
2011-21LD
16
West Ham
2011-11LD

Pre-match comparison

0.7Goals scored per game1.8
1.8Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Burnley

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
80%

West Ham

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
25%

Match statistics

46%Possession54%
2.33Expected goals (xG)1.33
6Shots on target2
18Total shots11
11Shots off target3
1Blocked shots6
11Shots inside the box10
7Shots outside the box1
5Corners6
0Offsides1
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards4
—Red cards—
1Goalkeeper saves3
397Total passes462
328Accurate passes402
83%Pass accuracy87%

Player ratings

Box score

Burnley

8
8Ugo RaghouberM · 57'
6.5
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes14%
Tackles—
Duels25%
10
10Marcus EdwardsM · 90'
7.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes15%
Tackles—
Duels27%
7Jacob Bruun LarsenM · 82'
7.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes20%
Tackles—
Duels20%
2
2K. Walker (C)D · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes47%
Tackles—
Duels60%
3
3Max AlleyneD · 90'
🅰️ 16.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes61%
Tackles—
Duels33%
21
21Aaron RamseyM · 76'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/3 on target
Passes21%
Tackles3
Duels50%
19
19Zian FlemmingF · 90'
⚽ 2🟨8.3
More stats
Shots4/9 on target
Passes10%
Tackles—
Duels67%
22Oliver SonneD · 90'
6.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes19%
Tackles1
Duels50%
28
28Hannibal MejbriM · 57'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes13%
Tackles2
Duels33%
1
1M. WeißG · 90'
6.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes24%
Tackles—
Duels100%
6Bashir HumphreysD · 76'
6.9
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes32%
Tackles1
Duels57%
Bench (9)
27
27A. BrojaF · 14'
7.0
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes11%
Tackles1
Duels75%
13
13B. AmosG
—
4
4J. WorrallD
—
31
31M. NdayishimiyeF · 8'
6.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes7%
Tackles1
Duels100%
20
20S. SamboD
—
29
29Josh LaurentM · 33'
6.6
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes17%
Tackles1
Duels100%
23Lucas PiresD · 14'
6.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes8%
Tackles—
Duels0%
17
17Andréas HountondjiF
—
11
11Zeki AmdouniF · 33'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes9%
Tackles—
Duels25%

West Ham

11Taty CastellanosF · 90'
🟨6.6
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes17%
Tackles1
Duels55%
10
10M. SolomonM · 89'
⚽ 17.9
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes23%
Tackles1
Duels70%
2
2Kyle Walker-PetersD · 90'
6.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes45%
Tackles1
Duels40%
20Jarrod Bowen (C)M · 90'
🅰️ 17.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes17%
Tackles1
Duels50%
3Max KilmanD · 90'
⚽ 17.3
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes57%
Tackles1
Duels67%
1Mads HermansenG · 90'
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes27%
Tackles—
Duels0%
15Konstantinos MavropanosD · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes72%
Tackles1
Duels75%
30Ollie ScarlesD · 87'
6.9
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes32%
Tackles1
Duels50%
61
61Lewis OrfordM · 90'
6.6
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes46%
Tackles1
Duels50%
17
17Mohamadou KanteM · 90'
🟨6.5
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes39%
Tackles1
Duels43%
19Pablo FelipeF · 45'
6.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes14%
Tackles—
Duels50%
Bench (9)
23
23A. AreolaG
—
34Joël VeltmanD · 8'
6.3
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes1%
Tackles—
Duels—
8James Ward-ProwseM · 45'
6.9
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes10%
Tackles1
Duels60%
12El Hadji Malick DioufD · 10'
🟨6.2
More stats
Shots— on target
Passes2%
Tackles—
Duels0%
40George EarthyM
—
58
58Airidas GolambeckisD
—
63
63Ezra MayersD
—
66
66J. AjalaF
—
48J. LandersF
—

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Burnley vs West Ham?+

Our AI model favors West Ham to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 27%, Burnley 29%).

Where is Burnley vs West Ham played?+

The match is played at Turf Moor, Burnley (capacity 22,546).

What time does Burnley vs West Ham kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).