Bzenec vs Třinec

Cup· Round of 64
Bzenec
14Full-time
Třinec
LWLWGoals 15-24
LWDDGoals 26-15

Value found

+2.9% edge

Bzenec win

6.25AI fair odds
6.43Bookmaker odds
+2.9%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'N. Zinhasovic
  2. 26'N. Zinhasovic
  3. 35'D. Hana (T. Martins)
  4. 38'M. Abdoulkarim
  5. 45'M. Abdoulkarim
Lineups unavailable for this match.
BzenecTřinec
1.5
Goals/game
2.6
2.4
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Bzenec win
16%
Draw
20%
Třinec win
64%
71.3%BTTS
76.2%Over 2.5
8.2%Bzenec clean sheet
22.3%Třinec clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Třinec has been more prolific in attack, averaging 2.6 goals across their last 10 games, while Bzenec has struggled defensively, conceding 2.4 goals per match in the same span. Additionally, Bzenec's recent form includes two heavy defeats, indicating vulnerabilities in their lineup. Therefore, the numbers favor an away win with a likely score of 2-1.

  • Třinec averaging 2.6 goals scored over their last 10 matches
  • Bzenec has conceded an average of 2.4 goals in their last 10 matches
  • Last 5 matches for Bzenec include 2 losses by 3+ goals
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Třinec

  • Sharper attackTřinec

    Třinec are averaging 2.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.6/game
  • Tighter defenseTřinec

    Třinec are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Třinec at 64% — final result was Třinec win, Bzenec 1-4 Třinec.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Třinec1.38market 72.7% · model 64%
Draw4.55market 22% · model 20%
Bzenec6.43market 15.5% · model 16%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Bzenec have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Třinec have averaged 2.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Bzenec6.43best 7.80
Draw4.55best 4.80
Třinec1.38best 1.44

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.50best 1.53
Under 2.52.35best 2.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.70best 1.73
No2.00best 2.05

Double chance

Bzenec/Draw2.76best 3.10
Bzenec/Třinec1.14best 1.18
Draw/Třinec1.08best 1.12

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Bzenec6.43 0.21
Draw4.55
Třinec1.38 0.01
26 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Bzenec win+1.9pp
AI
16%
Market
14.1%
Draw0pp
AI
20%
Market
20%
Třinec win-1.9pp
AI
64%
Market
65.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game2.6
2.4Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Třinec

0-15'
25%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
25%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Bzenec vs Třinec?+

Our AI model favors Třinec to win, with a 64% probability (Draw 20%, Bzenec 16%).

What time does Bzenec vs Třinec kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).