Cambridge United vs Wigan — League One

League One· Regular Season - 1

Cambridge United

3–2Full-time

Wigan

DDDWDLGoals 13-74th in league

DWLLWLGoals 12-924th in league

Home1W 0D 0L(3-2)

Away0W 0D 1L(2-3)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

3'K. Watts (Mamadou Jobe)
34'L. Appere
46'C. Llyton (A. Harris)
52'I. Heath
60'C. Sze (A. Higgins)
60'C. Barrett (K. Miller)
69'Sonny Perkins
73'A. Higgins (Dara Costelloe)
74'Ben Knight (S. Kaikai)
74'I. Heath (Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu)
80'L. Appere (S. Lavery)
87'Dara Costelloe (Callum McManaman)
90+5'Zak Bradshaw

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Cambridge UnitedWigan

1.3
Goals/game: 1.2; 0.7
Conceded/game: 0.9

AI match analysis

Cambridge United win

39%

Draw

30%

Wigan win

31%

40.9%BTTS

33.7%Over 2.5

38.7%Cambridge United clean sheet

33.3%Wigan clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The analysis indicates a competitive matchup between Cambridge United and Wigan, with Cambridge showing a slight edge based on their recent home form. Wigan's away struggles could hinder their performance despite their higher league standing. Overall, the numbers suggest a tightly matched contest may lead to a draw.

Cambridge United has won 2 of their last 5 matches, showing a strong home advantage.
Wigan has struggled away recently, with only 1 win in their last 5 matches.
Historically, the head-to-head results are closely contested, with both teams having similar recent performances.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

73/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cambridge United

Higher league positionCambridge United
Cambridge United sit 20 places above Wigan in the table.
#4 vs #24
Poor recent formWigan
Wigan have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Sharper attackCambridge United
Cambridge United are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Tighter defenseCambridge United
Cambridge United are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cambridge United at 39% — final result was Cambridge United win, Cambridge United 3-2 Wigan.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cambridge United ✓2.34market 42.7% · model 39%

Wigan3.04market 32.9% · model 31%

Draw3.15market 31.7% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Cambridge United have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Wigan have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3Cambridge United wins

1Draws

3Wigan wins

11-9Goals

Wigan

1–0Mar 8, 2025, 3:00 PM

Cambridge United

1–2Nov 30, 2024, 3:00 PM

Wigan

Cambridge United

2–0Oct 19, 2024, 2:00 PM

Wigan

Cambridge United

3–1Apr 1, 2024, 2:00 PM

Wigan

2–1Sep 16, 2023, 2:00 PM

Cambridge United

Wigan

1–2Apr 16, 2022, 4:15 PM

Cambridge United

2–2Nov 23, 2021, 7:45 PM

Wigan

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cambridge United2.34▼best 2.42

Draw3.15▲best 3.31

Wigan3.04▲best 3.23

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.14▼best 2.20

Under 2.51.67▲best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.86▼best 1.95

No1.85▲best 1.90

Double chance

Cambridge United/Draw1.35best 1.40

Cambridge United/Wigan1.32▲best 1.36

Draw/Wigan1.54▲best 1.60

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.25best 3.25

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cambridge United2.34▲ 0.05

Draw3.15▲ 0.02

Wigan3.04▲ 0.03

12 Aug – 15 Aug

Model vs market

Cambridge United win-0.8pp

39%

Market

39.8%

Draw+0.4pp

30%

Market

29.6%

Wigan win+0.4pp

31%

Market

30.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.