Cancún vs CA La Paz
Value found
+13.4% edgeCancún win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 13'Ulises Jaimes (O. Millan)
- 13'U. Jaimes (O. Millan)
- 16'Ulises Jaimes (F. Illescas)
- 16'U. Jaimes (F. Illescas)
- 16'O. Millan
- 21'Ulises Jaimes
- 21'U. Echevarria
- 21'U. Jaimes
- 22'D. Guillen
- 31'Martín Barragán
- 32'F. Illescas
- 36'F. Melendre
- 37'Horacio Torres
- 37'H. Torres
- 42'Ángel Robles (Y. Del Aguila)
- 43'U. Echevarria
- 46'A. Chavez (A. Arredondo)
- 46'D. Lomeli (T. Gigena)
- 60'F. Melendre (G. Preciado)
- 60'P. Uscanga (L. López)
- 61'U. Jaimes (L. Chiu)
- 61'Bruce El-mesmari (A. Alvarez)
- 61'O. Millan (L. Chiu)
- 61'U. Jaimes (S. Vazquez)
- 69'J. Alonzo (D. Hernandez)
- 69'Martín Barragán (J. Ferrer)
- 70'Y. Del Aguila
- 77'J. Rodriguez (K. Campos)
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The numbers favor Cancún slightly with their home advantage, having won 50% of their recent matches at home despite mixed form overall. While CA La Paz shows a stronger recent goal differential and has scored more frequently, their away performance may be less effective against Cancún. Previous head-to-head results indicate a tendency for high-scoring encounters, suggesting a possible competitive matchup with Cancún edging it.
- Cancún has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
- CA La Paz has a higher recent goal differential of +4 compared to Cancún's -2.
- The two teams have a history of high-scoring games, averaging over 3 goals in their last 5 encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cancún
- Historical edgeCancún
Cancún have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins - Higher league positionCA La Paz
CA La Paz sit 3 places above Cancún in the table.
#7 vs #10 - Sharper attackCA La Paz
CA La Paz are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cancún at 50% — final result was CA La Paz win, Cancún 1-2 CA La Paz.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cancún have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- CA La Paz have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Cancún
CA La Paz
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Who is likely to win Cancún vs CA La Paz?+
Our AI model favors Cancún to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 25%, CA La Paz 25%).
What time does Cancún vs CA La Paz kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).