Cancún vs Durango — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX· Apertura - 4

Cancún

2–0Full-time

Durango

WWDLWLGoals 14-1312th in league

LLDGoals 1-511th in league

Home1W 0D 2L(3-4)

Away2W 1D 1L(2-2)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

5'Alonso Escoboza
18'A. Garcia
33'J. Rodriguez (F. Melendre)
37'Christopher Trejo
46'Alonso Escoboza (L. Lorona)
46'L. Gutierrez (J. Gonzalez)
46'A. Garcia (A. Ontiveros)
73'C. Vega Hernandez (J. I. Reyes Olguin)
73'J. Angulo (L. Morales)
73'P. Uscanga (A. Arredondo)
73'F. Melendre (K. Campos)
81'G. Preciado (U. Echevarria)
90+3'J. Rodriguez (D. Lomeli)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

CancúnDurango

1.4
Goals/game: 0.3; 1.3
Conceded/game: 1.7

AI match analysis

Cancún win

30%

Draw

20%

Durango win

50%

43.8%BTTS

41.7%Over 2.5

44.2%Cancún clean sheet

21.6%Durango clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Statistical analysis suggests that Durango, with a stronger performance record and current form, is favored to win against Cancún. While Cancún has struggled in their opening games, Durango's perfect away record this season underlines their potential to capitalize. The numbers indicate a likely score of 2-1 in favor of the away team.

Durango has a perfect away record this season with 2 wins from 2 matches.
Cancún has lost both of their first two matches this season and have a -5 goal difference.
Durango's recent form shows a bounce back after a loss, winning their previous two matches before their last defeat.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

65/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Durango

Weak home recordCancún
Cancún have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.
1/3 home wins
Strong away recordDurango
Durango have won 2 of their last 4 away matches.
2/4 away wins
Sharper attackCancún
Cancún are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game
Tighter defenseCancún
Cancún are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Durango has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.