Caracas FC vs Carabobo FC
MHPArena, Stuttgart
Match events
- 11'J. De Santis
- 19'A. Villarreal
- 24'Robert Hernandez
- 35'Darwin Machís (J. Berios)
- 45'L. Aponte
- 46'Darwin Machís (L. Martinez)
- 51'M. Covea (M. Vegas)
- 51'J. De Santis (W. Correa)
- 60'E. Arzu (D. Meza)
- 63'C. Larotonda (S. Gonzalez)
- 67'J. Duran (Alexander Gonzalez)
- 67'E. Castillo (M. Cova)
- 75'Robert Hernandez (L. Reinoso)
- 75'I. Gudino (J. Quintero)
- 90+3'L. Reinoso
- 90+5'M. Vegas
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 0.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Carabobo FC has a strong historical advantage over Caracas FC, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 meetings. Despite struggling away this season, their overall scoring capability and better league position could play a critical role. The numbers indicate that Caracas FC's recent home form, including two losses, may hinder their chances. Therefore, the analysis leans towards an away victory for Carabobo FC.
- Carabobo FC unbeaten against Caracas in last 5 encounters
- Caracas FC has lost 2 of their last 3 home games
- Carabobo FC has consistent scoring average of 1.3 goals per game
- Caracas FC has a negative goal difference in the league
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Carabobo FC
- Historical edgeCarabobo FC
Carabobo FC have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Weak home recordCaracas FC
Caracas FC have won 0 of their last 3 home matches.
0/3 home wins - Strong away recordCarabobo FC
Carabobo FC have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.
2/3 away wins - Tighter defenseCarabobo FC
Carabobo FC are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Carabobo FC at 51% — final result was a draw, Caracas FC 1-1 Carabobo FC.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Caracas FC have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Carabobo FC have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Carabobo FC
Caracas FCCaracas FCCarabobo FCCarabobo FCCaracas FCCaracas FCCarabobo FCCaracas FCCarabobo FCCarabobo FCCaracas FCCarabobo FCCaracas FCCaracas FCCarabobo FCOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Caracas FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | WLLD |
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 11 | DWWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Caracas FC
Carabobo FC
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Rayo ZulianoCarabobo FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Caracas FC vs Carabobo FC?+
Our AI model favors Carabobo FC to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 28%, Caracas FC 21%).
Where is Caracas FC vs Carabobo FC played?+
The match is played at MHPArena, Stuttgart.
What time does Caracas FC vs Carabobo FC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).