Cardiff MET vs The New Saints — Premier League

Premier League· Regular Season - 4

Cardiff MET

0–5Full-time

The New Saints

DDWLDLGoals 10-1410th in league

WWWWWWGoals 22-62nd in league

Home1W 0D 1L(6-6)

Away1W 1D 0L(5-0)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

8'J. Veale
20'R. Hughes
45+6'J. Clarke
45+7'R. Hughes
46'S. Jones (Y. Degbe)
46'A. Wildig (B. Gaughan)
46'S. Jones (J. Hooper)
47'D. Davies
56'R. Hughes
61'B. Wilson
65'D. Simeu
70'Isaac Jefferies (R. Brobbel)
70'R. Hughes (R. Holden)
70'D. Williams (L. Smith)
75'J. Lock (J. Williams)
76'Lifumpa Mwandwe (M. McKenzie)
77'J. Payne (H. Matthews)
82'C. Craven (H. John)
90+1'R. Holden

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Cardiff METThe New Saints

1.0
Goals/game: 2.2; 1.4
Conceded/game: 0.6

AI match analysis

Cardiff MET win

12%

Draw

18%

The New Saints win

70%

46%BTTS

48.2%Over 2.5

16.5%Cardiff MET clean sheet

44.9%The New Saints clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The statistics favor The New Saints in this matchup, as they are in good form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive scoring record. Cardiff MET's recent performances reveal struggles in defense, allowing 1.4 goals per game, which may amplify the challenge against a potent The New Saints attack that averages 2.2 goals. Historically, The New Saints have dominated this fixture, further supporting the notion of them being the strongest contender.

The New Saints unbeaten in last 5 matches, winning 4 of them
Cardiff MET conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last 10 matches
The New Saints have a stronger recent scoring average of 2.2 goals per game

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors The New Saints

Strong home recordCardiff MET
Cardiff MET have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins
Strong away recordThe New Saints
The New Saints have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins
Sharper attackThe New Saints
The New Saints are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game
Historical edgeThe New Saints
The New Saints have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked The New Saints at 70% — final result was The New Saints win, Cardiff MET 0-5 The New Saints.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

The New Saints ✓1.30market 77.2% · model 70%

Draw4.91market 20.3% · model 18%

Cardiff MET7.92market 12.6% · model 12%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Cardiff MET have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
The New Saints have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Cardiff MET wins

0Draws

7The New Saints wins

5-28Goals

The New Saints

2–3Nov 7, 2025, 7:45 PM

Cardiff MET

1–3Sep 19, 2025, 6:45 PM

The New Saints

Cardiff MET

0–6Mar 22, 2025, 2:30 PM

The New Saints

3–1Feb 1, 2025, 2:30 PM

Cardiff MET

0–2Jan 14, 2025, 7:45 PM

The New Saints

3–0Oct 12, 2024, 1:30 PM

Cardiff MET

0–5Apr 13, 2024, 1:30 PM

The New Saints

4–0Mar 2, 2024, 12:45 PM

Cardiff MET

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cardiff MET7.92▲best 9.90

Draw4.91▲best 5.64

The New Saints1.30▼best 1.44

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.54▼best 1.62

Under 2.52.26▲best 2.39

Both teams to score

Yes1.87▲best 2.00

No1.79▼best 1.95

Double chance

Cardiff MET/Draw3.08▲best 3.75

Cardiff MET/The New Saints1.11▼best 1.20

Draw/The New Saints1.05▼best 1.11

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.80▲best 1.80

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes1.91▼best 1.91

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes7.00▲best 7.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.08▼best 1.08

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cardiff MET7.92▲ 1.42

Draw4.91▲ 0.41

The New Saints1.30▼ 0.03

19 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Cardiff MET win+0.5pp

12%

Market

11.5%

Draw-0.5pp

18%

Market

18.5%

The New Saints win-0.1pp

70%

Market

70.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.