Carlton Blues vs Fremantle Dockers
Marvel Stadium
Score
| Team | Goals | Behinds | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Carlton Blues | 18 | 11 | 119 |
 Fremantle Dockers | 12 | 10 | 82 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 74-86
The data suggests Fremantle Dockers hold a significant historical edge in their recent encounters against Carlton Blues, having won four out of their last five. Carlton's defensive struggles, allowing an average of 87.2 points over their recent matches, could be a deciding factor. Meanwhile, Fremantle has demonstrated better scoring ability, averaging 89.8 points in their last 10 games. Overall, the numbers favor a Fremantle win.
- Fremantle Dockers won 4 of last 5 head-to-head meetings
- Carlton Blues have conceded 87.2 points per game in their last 10
- Fremantle Dockers scored an average of 89.8 points in the last 10 matches
- Carlton Blues' recent form includes only 1 win in last 5 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Fremantle Dockers
- Tighter defenseFremantle Dockers
Fremantle Dockers are conceding just 77.9 points per game over their recent matches.
77.9/game conceded - Historical edgeCarlton Blues
Carlton Blues have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Strong recent formCarlton Blues
Carlton Blues are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Good recent formFremantle Dockers
Fremantle Dockers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Fremantle Dockers at 60% — final result was Carlton Blues win, Carlton Blues 119-82 Fremantle Dockers.
Predicted score was 74-86.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Match trends
- Carlton Blues have averaged 95.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fremantle Dockers have averaged 97.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Carlton Blues are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Fremantle Dockers.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Ladder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fremantle Dockers | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW |
| 2 |  Sydney Swans | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Lions | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Hawthorn Hawks | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW |
| 5 |  Geelong Cats | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW |
| 6 |  Adelaide Crows | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL |
| 7 |  Melbourne Demons | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL |
| 8 |  Western Bulldogs | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW |
| 9 |  Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW |
| 10 | Carlton Blues | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW |
| 11 |  St Kilda Saints | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW |
| 12 |  Greater Western Sydney Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL |
| 13 |  Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL |
| 14 |  North Melbourne Kangaroos | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL |
| 15 |  Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL |
| 16 |  West Coast Eagles | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL |
| 17 |  Richmond Tigers | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL |
| 18 |  Essendon Bombers | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
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Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Carlton Blues vs Fremantle Dockers?+
Our AI model favors Fremantle Dockers to win, with a 60% probability (Carlton Blues 40%).
What time does Carlton Blues vs Fremantle Dockers start?+
First bounce is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:15 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the final score in Carlton Blues vs Fremantle Dockers?+
Carlton Blues: 18.11 (119). Fremantle Dockers: 12.10 (82).