Carrarese vs Mantova
Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara · Capacity 4,975 · grass · Referee: A. Calzavara
Match events
- 10'B. Tomašević
- 22'F. Ruocco (Ettore Gliozzi)
- 46'B. Tomašević (Andrea Meroni)
- 56'J. Rouhi
- 57'J. Silva (D. Wieser)
- 59'Fabio Abiuso (G. Marconi)
- 59'Y. Khafi (T. Guercio)
- 61'R. Ilie (A. Castellini)
- 67'R. Ilie (F. Chinetti)
- 67'F. Ruocco (D. Bragantini)
- 75'J. Rouhi (P. Pinelli)
- 80'P. Pinelli (M. Cisse)
- 84'F. Reale (M. Finotto)
- 85'L. Romani (N. Schiavi)
- 90+2'Andrea Meroni (F. Paoletti)
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match between Carrarese and Mantova, with both teams having an equal opportunity for a result. Carrarese's struggle to secure victories could impact their confidence, while Mantova's recent form provides a slight edge. The historical results imply that a draw could also be a strong possibility.
- Carrarese has not won in their last 5 matches, including recent losses to Torino and Frosinone.
- Mantova won 3 of their last 5 matches, showing better attacking form compared to Carrarese.
- Historically, the last four encounters between the two teams have ended in draws or very close margins.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Carrarese
- Poor recent formCarrarese
Carrarese have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Good recent formMantova
Mantova have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeMantova
Mantova have won 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
1/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionMantova
Mantova sit 11 places above Carrarese in the table.
#3 vs #14
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Carrarese at 39.46% — final result was Mantova win, Carrarese 1-2 Mantova.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Carrarese have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Mantova have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Calzavara
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Mantova
More Serie B predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Carrarese vs Mantova?+
Our AI model favors Carrarese to win, with a 39.46% probability (Draw 29.69%, Mantova 30.85%).
Where is Carrarese vs Mantova played?+
The match is played at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara (capacity 4,975).
What time does Carrarese vs Mantova kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).