CD Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito

Liga Panameña de Fútbol· Apertura - 5
WWDWGoals 13-45th in league
DLDWGoals 12-89th in league
Home1W 1D 1L(3-3)
Away1W 1D 1L(1-1)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 21'J. Filos
  2. 23'J. Cedeno
  3. 25'R. Collymore
  4. 31'O. Llerena
  5. 44'O. Alba
  6. 46'J. Filos (M. Breary)
  7. 56'J. Scarpetta (O. Castillo)
  8. 58'F. McClean (R. Burgess)
  9. 58'J. Hall
  10. 58'R. Graham (O. Penalba)
  11. 70'L. Zúñiga (B. Huayambi)
  12. 70'R. Tello Valor (A. Bethancourt)
  13. 71'J. Cedeno (R. Benitez)
  14. 80'O. Reefer (M. Ceballos)
  15. 81'A. Cooper (J. Valencia)
  16. 82'J. Betancourt (J. I. Ruiz)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CD Arabe UnidoSporting San Miguelito
1.3
Goals/game
1.2
0.4
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

CD Arabe Unido win
38%
Draw
32%
Sporting San Miguelito win
30%
35.8%BTTS
28.3%Over 2.5
44.9%CD Arabe Unido clean sheet
35%Sporting San Miguelito clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Historical data indicates a challenging season start for both teams, with CD Arabe Unido winning only once in their last five and Sporting San Miguelito managing a draw and a win in their recent matches. The last five encounters have often resulted in tight contests, frequently ending as draws, suggesting a balanced matchup. The numbers imply a potential low-scoring game, possibly finishing in a 1-1 draw.

  • CD Arabe Unido has only 1 win in their last 5 matches
  • Sporting San Miguelito is undefeated in their last 2 away games
  • Recent head-to-head matches have frequently ended in draws
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CD Arabe Unido

  • Weak home recordCD Arabe Unido

    CD Arabe Unido have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordSporting San Miguelito

    Sporting San Miguelito have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.

    1/3 away wins
  • Strong recent formCD Arabe Unido

    CD Arabe Unido are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L
  • Higher league positionCD Arabe Unido

    CD Arabe Unido sit 4 places above Sporting San Miguelito in the table.

    #5 vs #9

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked CD Arabe Unido at 38% — final result was CD Arabe Unido win, CD Arabe Unido 1-0 Sporting San Miguelito.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

CD Arabe Unido2.34market 42.8% · model 38%
Draw2.90market 34.5% · model 32%
Sporting San Miguelito3.04market 32.9% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CD Arabe Unido have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sporting San Miguelito have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1CD Arabe Unido wins
5Draws
2Sporting San Miguelito wins
5-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

CD Arabe Unido2.34best 2.42
Draw2.90best 3.00
Sporting San Miguelito3.04best 3.20

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.36best 2.55
Under 2.51.50best 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes1.97best 2.00
No1.71best 1.74

Double chance

CD Arabe Unido/Draw1.31best 1.36
CD Arabe Unido/Sporting San Miguelito1.32best 1.36
Draw/Sporting San Miguelito1.51best 1.53

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CD Arabe Unido2.34 0.03
Draw2.90 0.03
Sporting San Miguelito3.04 0.09
21 Aug21 Aug

Model vs market

CD Arabe Unido win-0.8pp
AI
38%
Market
38.8%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
32%
Market
31.3%
Sporting San Miguelito win+0.1pp
AI
30%
Market
29.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
CD Arabe Unido
5221+18WDLD
9
Sporting San Miguelito
5122-25WDLD

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.2
0.4Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

CD Arabe Unido

0-15'
100%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Sporting San Miguelito

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Liga Panameña de Fútbol predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CD Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito?+

Our AI model favors CD Arabe Unido to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 32%, Sporting San Miguelito 30%).

What time does CD Arabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 1:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).