CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Value found
+6.3% edgeAlebrijes de Oaxaca win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 21'A. Tecpanecatl
- 25'Jesús Ocejo
- 29'Ó. Manzanarez
- 45+6'D. Lopez (D. Magana)
- 45'A. Tecpanecatl
- 46'A. Vazquez Hernandez (D. Martinez)
- 46'Aldo Arellano (B. Fadika)
- 46'Andrey Marcos (I. Barreda)
- 46'S. Martinez (J. Tovar)
- 55'A. Justo
- 69'D. Martinez
- 75'C. Cruz (O. Mendez)
- 75'Ivan Ochoa (A. Serna)
- 82'R. Pena (E. Escalante)
- 84'B. Fadika (A. Hernandez)
- 87'E. Escalante
- 89'I. Barreda (E. Sánchez)
- 90'E. Escalante
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The match data suggests a slight advantage for CDS Tampico Madero, who have historically performed well against Alebrijes de Oaxaca in recent encounters, winning 2 of the last 4 meetings. With Alebrijes struggling defensively, averaging over 2 goals conceded in their last 10 matches, it is likely that Tampico Madero could find the net multiple times.
- CDS Tampico Madero won 2 of their last 4 encounters against Alebrijes de Oaxaca
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca has conceded an average of 2.2 goals in their last 10 matches
- CDS Tampico Madero is unbeaten at home this season with 1 win and 1 draw
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors CDS Tampico Madero
- Historical edgeCDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
3/4 H2H wins - Tighter defenseCDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded - Higher league positionCDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero sit 1 place above Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the table.
#9 vs #10 - Poor recent formCDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked CDS Tampico Madero at 53% — final result was CDS Tampico Madero win, CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (91/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- CDS Tampico Madero have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | LWLD |
| 10 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | LWWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
CDS Tampico Madero
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
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Venados FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?+
Our AI model favors CDS Tampico Madero to win, with a 53% probability (Draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 23%).
What time does CDS Tampico Madero vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).