Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo · Capacity 24,791 · grass · Referee: M. Sesma
Match events
- 14'Iago Aspas (Miguel Román)
- 28'J. Moncayola
- 46'J. Moncayola (I. Munoz)
- 48'Marcos Alonso
- 52'Iago Aspas (C. Starfelt)
- 52'Marcos Alonso
- 54'Enrique Barja Alfonso (R. Garcia)
- 58'J. Dubasin (A. Budimir)
- 58'J. Herrando (Rubén García)
- 63'A. Budimir
- 65'J. Rueda (J. El Abdellaoui)
- 65'W. Swedberg (J. El Abdellaoui)
- 65'Javi Galán (Sergio Carreira)
- 65'J. Rueda (Hugo Álvarez)
- 70'Javi Galán (Sergio Carreira)
- 70'J. Rueda (J. El Abdellaoui)
- 75'Enrique Barja Alfonso (Moi Gómez)
- 79'Pablo Durán (F. Jutgla)
- 82'R. Garcia (A. Oroz)
- 86'Pablo Durán (F. Jutgla)
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The analysis suggests a closely contested match between Celta Vigo and Osasuna, with both teams struggling for recent form. Celta has recorded three draws in their last five games, highlighting their defensive organization, while Osasuna's recent scoring average of 0.8 goals per game suggests challenges in attack. Given the head-to-head history, which features tightly matched results, a draw appears to be a reasonable prediction.
- Celta Vigo has a recent form of 3 draws in their last 5 matches.
- Osasuna has scored only 0.8 goals per game on average in their last 10 matches.
- Historically, Celta Vigo and Osasuna have had a competitive rivalry with close match results.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Celta Vigo
- Poor recent formOsasuna
Osasuna have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
0W 1D 4L - Historical edgeOsasuna
Osasuna have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackCelta Vigo
Celta Vigo are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game - Tighter defenseCelta Vigo
Celta Vigo are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Celta Vigo at 49.27% — final result was Osasuna win, Celta Vigo 1-2 Osasuna.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (84/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Celta Vigo have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Osasuna have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Celta Vigo
OsasunaOsasunaCelta VigoCelta VigoOsasunaOsasunaCelta VigoOsasunaCelta VigoCelta VigoOsasunaOsasunaCelta VigoCelta VigoOsasunaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 7 | Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Celta Vigo
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EspanyolFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?+
Our AI model favors Celta Vigo to win, with a 49.27% probability (Draw 28.97%, Osasuna 21.76%).
Where is Celta Vigo vs Osasuna played?+
The match is played at Estadio Abanca Balaídos, Vigo (capacity 24,791).
What time does Celta Vigo vs Osasuna kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).