Cercle Brugge vs St. Truiden — Jupiler Pro League

Jupiler Pro League· Regular Season - 2

Cercle Brugge

3–3Full-time

St. Truiden

LLWLLDGoals 21-2011th in league

DWLWDWGoals 15-912th in league

Home0W 1D 0L(3-3)

Away0W 1D 0L(3-3)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

1'R. Merlen (Ilias Sebaoui)
18'N. Ishiwatari
28'Steve Ngoura
37'R. Merlen (R. Vanwesemael)
47'N. Ishiwatari (Ilias Sebaoui)
57'J. Pupe
62'E. Kakou (Lucas Michal)
73'V. Martens (Erick Nunes)
73'Dante Vanzeir (Ibrahim Diakité)
79'L. Mbe Soh
81'Steve Ngoura (K. Kouassi)
81'Lukas Mondele (Jean Thierry Lazare Amani)
82'Erick Nunes
87'R. Merlen (O. Diouf)
87'F. Soelle (Shogo Taniguchi)
87'N. Ishiwatari (W. Janssens)
90+3'K. Kouassi (Erick Nunes)

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Cercle BruggeSt. Truiden

2.1
Goals/game: 1.5; 2.0
Conceded/game: 0.9

AI match analysis

Cercle Brugge win

38%

Draw

27%

St. Truiden win

35%

64.2%BTTS

63%Over 2.5

17.4%Cercle Brugge clean sheet

22.3%St. Truiden clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-2

The data suggests a competitive matchup with both teams evenly matched in their recent performances, as they each have recorded draws in their opening fixtures. Historically, their head-to-head results tip slightly in favor of St. Truiden, who have a better record against Cercle Brugge recently. Both teams have shown a propensity to score, and the likely outcome may be a high-scoring draw.

Cercle Brugge averaging 2.1 goals scored and 2 conceded in their last 10 matches.
St. Truiden has a strong recent away scoring average of 1.5 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
St. Truiden has a positive head-to-head record with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 encounters.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cercle Brugge

Sharper attackCercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.1/game
Tighter defenseSt. Truiden
St. Truiden are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded
Historical edgeCercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins
Higher league positionCercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge sit 1 place above St. Truiden in the table.
#11 vs #12

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Cercle Brugge at 38% — final result was a draw, Cercle Brugge 3-3 St. Truiden.

Predicted score was 2-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cercle Brugge2.46market 40.7% · model 38%

St. Truiden2.68market 37.3% · model 35%

Draw ✓3.45market 29% · model 27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Cercle Brugge have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
St. Truiden have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Cercle Brugge wins

3Draws

2St. Truiden wins

14-10Goals

St. Truiden

2–1Mar 8, 2026, 6:15 PM

Cercle Brugge

1–1Aug 29, 2025, 6:45 PM

St. Truiden

Cercle Brugge

3–1Apr 26, 2025, 6:45 PM

St. Truiden

3–1Apr 12, 2025, 4:15 PM

Cercle Brugge

St. Truiden

1–1Dec 27, 2024, 7:45 PM

Cercle Brugge

1–1Sep 29, 2024, 5:15 PM

St. Truiden

Cercle Brugge

4–1Feb 4, 2024, 6:15 PM

St. Truiden

0–2Aug 27, 2023, 2:00 PM

Cercle Brugge

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cercle Brugge2.46▲best 2.61

Draw3.45▼best 3.61

St. Truiden2.68▼best 2.95

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.71best 1.75

Under 2.52.11▼best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.56▼best 1.59

No2.28▲best 2.40

Double chance

Cercle Brugge/Draw1.43▲best 1.50

Cercle Brugge/St. Truiden1.28▲best 1.30

Draw/St. Truiden1.53▼best 1.61

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25▼best 1.25

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75▲best 3.75

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00▼best 4.00

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22▲best 1.22

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cercle Brugge2.46▲ 0.21

Draw3.45▲ 0.02

St. Truiden2.68▼ 0.22

11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Cercle Brugge win0pp

38%

Market

38%

Draw-0.1pp

27%

Market

27.1%

St. Truiden win+0.1pp

35%

Market

34.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.