Cerro vs Albion FC

Primera División· Clausura - 2
Cerro
21Full-time
Albion FC
WWWLGoals 12-94th in league
LLLDGoals 9-113rd in league
Home1W 0D 0L(2-1)
Away4W 3D 0L(8-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 8'A. Lopez
  2. 12'A. Miranda (R. Mederos)
  3. 41'Brahian Alemán
  4. 46'A. Vera (Federico Puente)
  5. 46'A. Severo (L. Pais)
  6. 64'C. Barros (A. Cambon)
  7. 77'S. Costa (B. Acosta)
  8. 77'H. Toledo (N. Neira)
  9. 88'A. Cambon
  10. 89'Brahian Alemán (E. Sosa)
  11. 89'J. Álvarez (Tobías Figueroa)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CerroAlbion FC
1.2
Goals/game
0.9
0.9
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

Cerro win
28%
Draw
32%
Albion FC win
40%
40.6%BTTS
33.7%Over 2.5
40.7%Cerro clean sheet
31.7%Albion FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The analysis shows that Cerro has managed to secure wins in 3 of their last 5 matches, highlighting a relatively better form compared to Albion FC, who have struggled with only 1 win in their last 5 games. Cerro's scoring average of 1.5 goals per game also exceeds Albion's 0.8, suggesting the potential for a low-scoring affair favoring the away side due to their slightly improved overall performance.

  • Cerro has won 3 of their last 5 matches.
  • Albion FC has only 1 win in their last 5 matches.
  • Cerro averages 1.5 goals scored per game while Albion FC averages 0.8.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
66/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Albion FC

  • Good recent formCerro

    Cerro have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formAlbion FC

    Albion FC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 2D 3L
  • Sharper attackCerro

    Cerro are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game
  • Tighter defenseCerro

    Cerro are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Albion FC at 40% — final result was Cerro win, Cerro 2-1 Albion FC.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Albion FC2.23market 44.8% · model 40%
Draw2.93market 34.1% · model 32%
Cerro3.27market 30.6% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Cerro have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Albion FC have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cerro3.27best 3.60
Draw2.93best 3.10
Albion FC2.23best 2.35

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.46best 2.57
Under 2.51.49best 1.52

Both teams to score

Yes2.05best 2.10
No1.68best 1.70

Double chance

Cerro/Draw1.57best 1.65
Cerro/Albion FC1.34best 1.40
Draw/Albion FC1.29best 1.35

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.53best 1.53
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.38best 2.38

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cerro3.27
Draw2.93 0.03
Albion FC2.23 0.04
12 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Cerro win+0.1pp
AI
28%
Market
27.9%
Draw+0.9pp
AI
32%
Market
31.1%
Albion FC win-0.9pp
AI
40%
Market
40.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Cerro
3201-26LWW
3
Albion FC
15843+1028WWWW

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game0.9
0.9Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Burgos

5.89Yellow cards / game
0.22Red cards / game
0.11Penalties scored / game

Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Albion FC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Cerro vs Albion FC?+

Our AI model favors Albion FC to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 32%, Cerro 28%).

What time does Cerro vs Albion FC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 1:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).