Cesena vs Sampdoria
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena · Capacity 23,860 · artificial turf · Referee: J. L. Sacchi
Match events
- 17'C. Shpendi (M. Guidi)
- 38'M. Cicconi
- 43'A. David
- 50'A. David
- 50'A. David
- 51'A. Fiori (Gianluca Frabotta)
- 57'C. Shpendi
- 58'A. Bellemo (Tjaš Begić)
- 68'C. Shpendi (V. Magni)
- 70'F. Depaoli (Yari Verschaeren)
- 76'X. Druiventak (A. Debenedetti)
- 76'R. Pagano (M. Francesconi)
- 76'M. Guidi (L. Schirone)
- 83'Stefan Gartenmann
- 84'Liam Henderson (Stefan Gartenmann)
- 0.7
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests this match could be evenly contested, with Cesena struggling offensively in their last matches, averaging just 0.7 goals scored. Sampdoria's away form has been somewhat mixed, which might limit their scoring potential as well, as they average 0.8 goals in the last 10. The numbers favor a likely draw, especially considering their recent encounters.
- Last 5 matches show Cesena has not won, scoring 0.7 goals per game on average.
- Sampdoria averages 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded in their last 10 matches.
- Recent head-to-heads show 3 of the last 5 ended in draws.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cesena
- Tighter defenseSampdoria
Sampdoria are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Historical edgeCesena
Cesena have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
3/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionCesena
Cesena sit 1 place above Sampdoria in the table.
#10 vs #11 - Sharper attackSampdoria
Sampdoria are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cesena at 36.33% — final result was a draw, Cesena 1-1 Sampdoria.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cesena have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sampdoria have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Cesena
SampdoriaSampdoriaCesenaSampdoriaCesenaCesenaSampdoriaSampdoriaCesenaCesenaSampdoriaSampdoriaCesenaCesenaSampdoriaOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. L. Sacchi
Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Sampdoria
More Serie B predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cesena vs Sampdoria?+
Our AI model favors Cesena to win, with a 36.33% probability (Draw 30.47%, Sampdoria 33.2%).
Where is Cesena vs Sampdoria played?+
The match is played at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena (capacity 23,860).
What time does Cesena vs Sampdoria kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).