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CF Pachuca vs Puebla

Liga MX· Apertura - 4
CF Pachuca
2–3Full-time
Puebla
WLWDGoals 14-1113th in league
LLLWGoals 13-185th in league
Home0W 0D 1L(1-2)
Away2W 0D 1L(5-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 16'E. Gómez (Bryan Garnica)
  2. 31'Penalty confirmed — J. Vargas
  3. 33'Kevin Velasco
  4. 42'S. Rondón (Carlos Sánchez)
  5. 46'E. Montiel (Rodolfo Pizarro)
  6. 46'Kenedy (N. Vallejo)
  7. 60'Penalty confirmed — Mauricio Andre Isais
  8. 63'S. Rondón
  9. 65'S. Sanabria (Oscar Villa)
  10. 65'S. Sanabria (Alonso Jiménez)
  11. 79'Oussama Idrissi (G. Alvarez)
  12. 83'Iker Moreno (Lucas Camilo)
  13. 83'E. Mustre (Oscar Villa)
  14. 84'Iker Moreno (Lucas Camilo)
  15. 84'E. Gómez (L. Hernández)
  16. 85'Carlos Sánchez (Alan Mozo)
  17. 85'S. Rondón (A. Alcaraz)
  18. 87'Bryan Garnica (Carlos Baltazar)
  19. 90+4'Facundo Almada (L. Hernández)

Lineups

CF Pachuca
Puebla
4-2-3-14-2-3-1
25. Carlos Moreno
6. Mauricio Andre Isais
2
2. S. D. Barreto
4
4. Eduardo Gabriel
14
← 85'
14. Carlos Sánchez
10
← 46'
10. E. Montiel
30
30. Sergio Rodríguez
← 79'
11. Oussama Idrissi
26
26. A. Bautista
← 46'
29. Kenedy
23
← 85'
23. S. Rondón
29
← 83'
29. E. Mustre
11
← 84'
11. E. Gómez
← 87'
27. Bryan Garnica
26. Kevin Velasco
21
← 65'
21. S. Sanabria
24
24. A. Organista
7
7. F. Monárrez
4
4. J. Vargas
5. Facundo Almada
← 83'
12. Iker Moreno
28. Ricardo Gutierrez
Benjamin MoraCoachGerardo Espinoza
Bench (9)
Bench (10)
CF PachucaPuebla
1.4
Goals/game
1.3
1.1
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

CF Pachuca win
61%
Draw
23%
Puebla win
16%
55.8%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
30.1%CF Pachuca clean sheet
20.2%Puebla clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that CF Pachuca stands a good chance of winning given their strong recent head-to-head record against Puebla, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters. Furthermore, Pachuca's home advantage, although not yet reflected in their season record, and Puebla's struggles in defense with 1.9 goals conceded on average over their last 10 matches, indicate that the home team may come out on top.

  • CF Pachuca has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Puebla.
  • Puebla has conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
  • CF Pachuca is currently unbeaten in their last 5 home matches.
  • Puebla has lost their last 2 away matches, scoring only 2 goals in those games.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
98/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CF Pachuca

  • Weak home recordCF Pachuca

    CF Pachuca have won 0 of their last 1 home matches.

    0/1 home wins
  • Strong away recordPuebla

    Puebla have won 2 of their last 3 away matches.

    2/3 away wins
  • Historical edgeCF Pachuca

    CF Pachuca have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formPuebla

    Puebla have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CF Pachuca at 61% — final result was Puebla win, CF Pachuca 2-3 Puebla.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (98/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

CF Pachuca1.53market 65.3% · model 61%
Draw4.09market 24.5% · model 23%
Puebla ✓5.59market 17.9% · model 16%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CF Pachuca have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Puebla have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5CF Pachuca wins
2Draws
1Puebla wins
17-9Goals
Puebla
1–4Feb 21, 2024, 1:00 AM
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
1–1Oct 29, 2023, 1:05 AM
Puebla
CF Pachuca
5–1Jan 10, 2023, 3:10 AM
Puebla
Puebla
2–2Sep 8, 2022, 12:00 AM
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
1–0Apr 20, 2022, 12:00 AM
Puebla
Puebla
1–2Oct 2, 2021, 12:00 AM
CF Pachuca
CF Pachuca
1–3Apr 13, 2021, 2:00 AM
Puebla
Puebla
0–1Aug 15, 2020, 2:30 AM
CF Pachuca

Odds comparison

Match winner

CF Pachuca1.53▲best 1.60
Draw4.09▼best 4.40
Puebla5.59▼best 6.19

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.67▼best 1.72
Under 2.52.16▲best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.72▼best 1.75
No1.99▲best 2.05

Double chance

CF Pachuca/Draw1.13▲best 1.17
CF Pachuca/Puebla1.20▲best 1.22
Draw/Puebla2.39▼best 2.50

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.54▼best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.33▼best 2.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.13▼best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10▲best 1.11

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CF Pachuca1.53▲ 0.06
Draw4.09▼ 0.05
Puebla5.59▼ 0.58
15 Aug – 18 Aug

Model vs market

CF Pachuca win+0.4pp
AI
61%
Market
60.6%
Draw+0.3pp
AI
23%
Market
22.7%
Puebla win-0.6pp
AI
16%
Market
16.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
CF Pachuca
3102+13LLW
5
Puebla
5311+210WDLW

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Barba

4Yellow cards / game
3Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

CF Pachuca

0-15'
20%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
40%

Puebla

0-15'
20%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
20%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CF Pachuca vs Puebla?+

Our AI model favors CF Pachuca to win, with a 61% probability (Draw 23%, Puebla 16%).

What time does CF Pachuca vs Puebla kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 3:06 AM (your local time, based on your device).