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Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse

First League· Regular Season - 6
Cherno More Varna
3–1Full-time
Dunav Ruse
LLLLGoals 10-1910th in league
WLLWGoals 11-1813th in league
Home1W 0D 2L(5-7)
Away1W 0D 3L(5-8)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 34'V. Kerchev
  2. 44'A. Alves
  3. 55'D. Teles
  4. 62'S. Gavrilov (I. Keïta)
  5. 62'M. Dilchovski (I. Budinov)
  6. 70'I. Keïta
  7. 76'D. Minchev (J. C. Cabarcas Perez)
  8. 78'C. Sidney (I. Tasev)
  9. 82'A. Valino
  10. 83'M. Barandas (J. Padilla)
  11. 88'Mohamed Achi (P. Andreev)
  12. 90+2'I. Tasev
  13. 90+3'L. Squadrone

Lineups

Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
4-2-3-13-5-1-1
81
81. K. Tomov
37
37. V. Kerchev
5
5. L. Squadrone
3
3. Z. Atanasov
50
50. E. Tombak
24
24. D. Teles
71
71. V. Panayotov
← 88'
11. Mohamed Achi
10
← 78'
10. C. Sidney
7
← 83'
7. M. Barandas
19
19. G. Lazarov
9
9. A. Valino
10
10. Kristiyan Bachev
11
← 76'
11. D. Minchev
24
← 62'
24. S. Gavrilov
44
44. V. Vidaković
14
14. Radoslav Apostolov
2
← 62'
2. M. Dilchovski
22
22. S. Predev
5
5. Kyriakos Antoniou
39
39. A. Alves
33
33. Georgi Kitanov
Ilian IlievCoachEmanuel Lukanov
Bench (10)
Bench (7)
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
1.0
Goals/game
1.1
1.9
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Cherno More Varna win
58.76%
Draw
24.32%
Dunav Ruse win
16.92%
58.5%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
22.3%Cherno More Varna clean sheet
24.7%Dunav Ruse clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Cherno More Varna has a favorable historical advantage over Dunav Ruse, having won their last four encounters. Both teams are struggling this season, but Dunav Ruse's recent form, with four losses in five matches, may hinder their chances. The numbers favor a close match, but with Cherno More's home advantage, they are slightly more likely to edge out a victory.

  • Cherno More Varna has won the last 4 meetings against Dunav Ruse.
  • Dunav Ruse has lost 4 of their last 5 matches, showing instability.
  • Cherno More Varna has a slightly better home record this season compared to Dunav Ruse's away record.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
95/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cherno More Varna

  • Historical edgeCherno More Varna

    Cherno More Varna have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    2/4 H2H wins
  • Poor recent formCherno More Varna

    Cherno More Varna have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Weak home recordCherno More Varna

    Cherno More Varna have won 1 of their last 3 home matches.

    1/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordDunav Ruse

    Dunav Ruse have won 1 of their last 4 away matches.

    1/4 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cherno More Varna at 58.76% — final result was Cherno More Varna win, Cherno More Varna 3-1 Dunav Ruse.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (95/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cherno More Varna ✓1.58market 63.2% · model 58.76%
Draw3.62market 27.6% · model 24.32%
Dunav Ruse5.54market 18% · model 16.92%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Cherno More Varna have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Dunav Ruse have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Cherno More Varna wins
2Draws
0Dunav Ruse wins
7-4Goals
Dunav Ruse
0–2Feb 16, 2020, 3:00 PM
Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1–1Aug 30, 2019, 3:00 PM
Dunav Ruse
Dunav Ruse
1–1Mar 17, 2019, 1:00 PM
Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
3–2Oct 26, 2018, 2:30 PM
Dunav Ruse

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cherno More Varna1.58best 1.65
Draw3.62▼best 3.90
Dunav Ruse5.54▲best 6.26

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.07▲best 2.15
Under 2.51.70▼best 1.78

Both teams to score

Yes2.05▲best 2.20
No1.67▼best 1.75

Double chance

Cherno More Varna/Draw1.11▼best 1.16
Cherno More Varna/Dunav Ruse1.24▲best 1.29
Draw/Dunav Ruse2.23best 2.35

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.80▲best 1.80
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.91▼best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.18▲best 1.18
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.50▼best 4.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cherno More Varna1.58▲ 0.03
Draw3.62▼ 0.13
Dunav Ruse5.54▲ 0.17
18 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Cherno More Varna win+0.7pp
AI
58.76%
Market
58.1%
Draw-1.1pp
AI
24.32%
Market
25.4%
Dunav Ruse win+0.3pp
AI
16.92%
Market
16.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
Cherno More Varna
6114-64LLLL
13
Dunav Ruse
6105-73WLLL

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.1
1.9Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Stalev

3.33Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Cherno More Varna

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Dunav Ruse

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
50%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse?+

Our AI model favors Cherno More Varna to win, with a 58.76% probability (Draw 24.32%, Dunav Ruse 16.92%).

What time does Cherno More Varna vs Dunav Ruse kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).