Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns
Soldier Field
Value found
+32.7% edgeChicago Bears win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chicago Bears | 0 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
 Cleveland Browns | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 24-18
Data suggests that the Chicago Bears have a strong historical advantage over the Cleveland Browns, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Bears also display a more potent offense, averaging 25 points scored per game in recent matches, compared to the Browns' lower average of 16.6. Defensively, the Bears might also exploit the Browns' vulnerability, having conceded a higher average of 22.7 points per game. These factors contribute to a favorable outlook for the Bears in this matchup.
- Chicago Bears have won 4 of the last 5 encounters against the Cleveland Browns
- Cleveland Browns have averaged only 16.6 points scored in their last 10 matches
- Chicago Bears scored an average of 25 points in their last 10 matches
- Cleveland Browns conceded 22.7 points on average in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chicago Bears
- Tighter defenseChicago Bears
Chicago Bears are conceding just 20.7 points per game over their recent matches.
20.7/game conceded - Historical edgeChicago Bears
Chicago Bears have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chicago Bears at 54% — final result was Chicago Bears win, Chicago Bears 34-10 Cleveland Browns.
Predicted score was 24-18.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Chicago Bears have averaged 24.3 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cleveland Browns have averaged 17.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chicago Bears are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Cleveland Browns.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Chicago Bears | Cleveland Browns |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 1.99 | 1.80 |
| -1 | 1.99 | 1.85 |
| +0 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| +1 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| +1.5 | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| +2.5 | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| +3 | 1.91 | 1.82 |
| +3.5 | 1.84 | 1.95 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 1.78 | 1.99 |
| 39 | 1.80 | 2.02 |
| 39.5 | 1.79 | 1.94 |
| 40 | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| 40.5 | 1.90 | 1.88 |
| 41 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| 41.5 | 1.94 | 1.76 |
| 42 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Average price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More NFL predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns?+
Our AI model favors Chicago Bears to win, with a 54% probability (Cleveland Browns 46%).
What time does Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns?+
Chicago Bears: 0-10-14-10. Cleveland Browns: 3-7-0-0. Final: 34-10.