Chico vs Fortaleza FC — Primera A

Primera A· Clausura - 7

Chico

0–0Full-time

Fortaleza FC

LDLLLLGoals 6-1618th in league

DLLLWLGoals 7-1512th in league

Home5W 1D 3L(13-5)

Away0W 2D 1L(2-4)

Match events

40'Y. Díaz
45+1'A. Maya
58'R. D. Rivas Torres (J. Salas)
59'S. Navarro (A. Batioja)
59'A. Maya (I. Camargo)
67'J. Diaz
70'S. Vivas
71'Sebastian Salazar (S. Viveros)
75'J. Herrera (J. Blanco)
79'S. Mera (F. Cifuentes)
79'E. Sarria (S. Navarro)
85'J. Solis (T. Wilke)

Lineups

Chico

Fortaleza FC

Bench (8)

Bench (7)

AI match analysis

Chico win

35%

Draw

32%

Fortaleza FC win

33%

44.4%BTTS

37.7%Over 2.5

31.7%Chico clean sheet

35%Fortaleza FC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Fortaleza FC may have the upper hand in this matchup. Chico's recent struggles, including an average of only 0.6 goals scored in their last 10 games, indicate challenges in attack. Meanwhile, Fortaleza's slightly better recent form and head-to-head success against Chico further favor the visiting side.

Chico is currently bottom of the league with 0 points from 3 matches.
Fortaleza FC has a stronger recent form with 5 points from their last 5 matches.
Historically, Fortaleza FC has outperformed Chico in their last 5 encounters, winning 3 of the matches.

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

68/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Chico

Historical edgeFortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins
Higher league positionFortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC sit 6 places above Chico in the table.
#12 vs #18
Poor recent formChico
Chico have lost 5 of their last 5 matches.
0W 0D 5L
Poor recent formFortaleza FC
Fortaleza FC have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Chico at 35% — final result was a draw, Chico 0-0 Fortaleza FC.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Chico2.67market 37.5% · model 35%

Fortaleza FC2.78market 36% · model 33%

Draw ✓2.91market 34.3% · model 32%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Chico have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Fortaleza FC have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Chico wins

2Draws

3Fortaleza FC wins

5-8Goals

Fortaleza FC

1–0Oct 14, 2025, 12:30 AM

Chico

0–2Apr 21, 2025, 11:00 PM

Fortaleza FC

Chico

2–2Sep 1, 2024, 1:00 AM

Fortaleza FC

1–1Feb 23, 2024, 9:00 PM

Chico

Fortaleza FC

2–1Aug 6, 2016, 8:15 PM

Chico

1–0Feb 27, 2016, 7:00 PM

Fortaleza FC

Odds comparison

Match winner

Chico2.67best 2.79

Draw2.91▲best 3.00

Fortaleza FC2.78▲best 2.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.47▼best 2.55

Under 2.51.50best 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes2.01▼best 2.06

No1.71▼best 1.75

Double chance

Chico/Draw1.40best 1.45

Chico/Fortaleza FC1.36▲best 1.40

Draw/Fortaleza FC1.42best 1.47

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.63best 2.65

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.43best 1.44

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Chico2.67▲ 0.03

Draw2.91▲ 0.01

Fortaleza FC2.78▼ 0.01

26 Aug – 26 Aug

Model vs market

Chico win+0.2pp

AI

35%

Market

34.8%

Draw+0.2pp

AI

32%

Market

31.8%

Fortaleza FC win-0.4pp

AI

33%

Market

33.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.