Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions
Paycor Stadium
Value found
+47.8% edgeDetroit Lions win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
 Detroit Lions | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 14 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 24-24
The statistical analysis reveals that both Cincinnati Bengals and Detroit Lions have shown strong scoring capabilities, averaging 27.8 and 26.6 points respectively in their recent performances. The last five encounters also illustrate a competitive edge, with both teams winning a mix of matches against each other, suggesting a closely contested game could be on the horizon. Accordingly, the predicted final score reflects a balanced outcome.
- Cincinnati Bengals scored an average of 27.8 points in their last 10 matches
- Detroit Lions scored an average of 26.6 points in their last 10 matches
- Last 5 head-to-head matches show a balanced scoring trend between the two teams
Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cincinnati Bengals
- Tighter defenseDetroit Lions
Detroit Lions are conceding just 24.2 points per game over their recent matches.
24.2/game conceded - Historical edgeCincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Below-average model confidence
Overall model confidence for this match is 30/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 45% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cincinnati Bengals at 45% — final result was Cincinnati Bengals win, Cincinnati Bengals 16-14 Detroit Lions.
Predicted score was 24-24.
The model itself only flagged this as a low confidence pick (30/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cincinnati Bengals have averaged 25.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Lions have averaged 24.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cincinnati Bengals are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Detroit Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Cincinnati Bengals | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -7.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.78▲ |
| -7 | 1.94▼ | 1.89▲ |
| -6.5 | 1.84▼ | 1.94▲ |
| -6 | 1.83 | 1.94 |
| -5.5 | 1.80▼ | 1.95 |
| -5 | 1.85▼ | 1.94▲ |
| -4.5 | 1.78▼ | 2.00▲ |
| -4 | 1.77 | 2.02 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| 36.5 | 1.69 | 2.00 |
| 37 | 1.85▼ | 1.93▼ |
| 37.5 | 1.88▲ | 1.90▼ |
| 38 | 1.93▲ | 1.86▼ |
| 38.5 | 1.88▼ | 1.86▲ |
| 39 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| 39.5 | 2.02▲ | 1.67 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions?+
Our AI model favors Cincinnati Bengals to win, with a 45% probability (Detroit Lions 55%).
What time does Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions?+
Cincinnati Bengals: 3-7-3-3. Detroit Lions: 0-6-0-8. Final: 16-14.