Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills
Huntington Bank Field
Value found
+23.5% edgeBuffalo Bills win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cleveland Browns | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
 Buffalo Bills | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 31 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 16-21
The analysis suggests that the Buffalo Bills hold a statistical edge against the Cleveland Browns, particularly in their scoring averages and recent form. The Bills have consistently scored higher than the Browns, who are struggling to find form with a recent record of only one win in their last five matches. Historically, the Bills have also fared well in their head-to-head encounters, winning four out of the last five meetings.
- Buffalo Bills averaging 27.5 points scored over their last 10 matches
- Cleveland Browns have lost 4 of their last 5 games
- Recent head-to-head record shows Buffalo Bills winning 4 of the last 5 meetings
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Buffalo Bills
- Tighter defenseBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills are conceding just 21.1 points per game over their recent matches.
21.1/game conceded - Historical edgeBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Good recent formCleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Buffalo Bills at 55% — final result was Buffalo Bills win, Cleveland Browns 7-31 Buffalo Bills.
Predicted score was 16-21.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cleveland Browns have averaged 17.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Buffalo Bills have averaged 28.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cleveland Browns are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Buffalo Bills.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Cleveland Browns | Buffalo Bills |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| -2.5 | 1.79 | 1.97 |
| -2 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| -1.5 | 1.86 | 1.89 |
| -1 | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| -0.5 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| +0.5 | 1.77 | 1.93 |
| +1.5 | 1.74 | 1.98 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 35.5 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| 36 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| 36.5 | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| 37 | 1.90 | 1.88 |
| 37.5 | 1.95 | 1.81 |
| 38.5 | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| 39 | 1.99 | 1.82 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
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New Orleans SaintsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills?+
Our AI model favors Buffalo Bills to win, with a 55% probability (Cleveland Browns 45%).
What time does Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills?+
Cleveland Browns: 7-0-0-0. Buffalo Bills: 7-7-10-7. Final: 7-31.