Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
 Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-4
Data suggests a competitive matchup between the Guardians and Royals, with the Guardians showing strong recent form by winning 4 of their last 5 games. The Royals, while also performing well offensively, conceded 3.5 runs per game, which could be critical against a Guardians team averaging 4.9 runs scored. Historically, the Guardians have a slight edge in their recent encounters, winning 3 of the last 5. The numbers indicate a close game, likely ending in a narrow victory for the home team.
- Cleveland Guardians have won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Kansas City Royals average 6.5 runs scored in their last 10 games
- Cleveland Guardians lead the last 5 head-to-heads 3-2
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cleveland Guardians
- Good recent formCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cleveland Guardians at 49.59% — final result was Kansas City Royals win, Cleveland Guardians 0-3 Kansas City Royals.
Predicted score was 5-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (61/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cleveland Guardians have averaged 4.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Kansas City Royals have averaged 6.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cleveland Guardians are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Kansas City Royals.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Cleveland Guardians | Kansas City Royals |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.40▲ | 1.31▼ |
| -2 | 3.04▲ | 1.37▼ |
| -1.5 | 2.56▲ | 1.52▼ |
| -1 | 2.08▲ | 1.73▼ |
| +1 | 1.50▲ | 2.49▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.41▼ | 2.85▲ |
| +2 | 1.27 | 3.63 |
| +2.5 | 1.23 | 3.88 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.39▲ | 2.90▼ |
| 6 | 1.44▲ | 2.64▼ |
| 6.5 | 1.59▲ | 2.32▼ |
| 7 | 1.71▲ | 2.07▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.98▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 8 | 2.10▲ | 1.72▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.30▲ | 1.59▼ |
| 9 | 2.75▲ | 1.42▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Cleveland GuardiansKansas City RoyalsCleveland GuardiansKansas City RoyalsCleveland GuardiansKansas City RoyalsCleveland GuardiansKansas City RoyalsCleveland GuardiansKansas City RoyalsLeague standings
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Who is likely to win Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?+
Our AI model favors Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 49.59% probability (Kansas City Royals 50.41%).
What time does Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals start?+
First pitch is at Aug 28, 2026, 11:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals?+
Cleveland Guardians: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Kansas City Royals: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 2. Final: 0-3.