Club America vs Atletico San Luis

Liga MX· Apertura - 4
WWLWGoals 19-121st in league
WLLDGoals 15-2215th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(6-0)
Away0W 1D 0L(2-2)
Estadio Banorte

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City · Capacity 87,000 · grass · Referee: M. Quintero

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 12'Icaro
  2. 21'Robson Bambu
  3. 21'Henry Martin
  4. 26'Raphael Veiga (D. Espinoza)
  5. 47'Robson Bambu
  6. 47'Robson Bambu
  7. 52'O. Perea (Raphael Veiga)
  8. 54'Lucas Esteves (Aldo Cruz)
  9. 55'Felipe Mora (Johan Caicedo)
  10. 61'O. Perea (Brian Rodríguez)
  11. 61'Icaro (Erick Sánchez)
  12. 64'Oscar Macias (Roberto Meraz)
  13. 66'D. Arriaga (Raphael Veiga)
  14. 68'R. Llorente (B. Galdames)
  15. 68'D. Rodriguez (Leonardo Flores)
  16. 72'Raphael Veiga (Alexis Gutiérrez)
  17. 72'Henry Martin (P. Salas)
  18. 76'D. Arriaga (Isaias Violante)

Lineups

Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
1.9
Goals/game
1.5
1.2
Conceded/game
2.2

AI match analysis

Club America win
64%
Draw
21%
Atletico San Luis win
15%
64.5%BTTS
66%Over 2.5
25.9%Club America clean sheet
12.9%Atletico San Luis clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Club America enters this match in a strong position, being unbeaten in their last three and having a solid home win record. Conversely, Atletico San Luis struggles with only two points from three games and a significantly poorer goal average. Historically, Club America has had the edge in recent head-to-head encounters, further tilting the statistics in their favor.

  • Club America is ranked 1st in the league with strong recent form of WDW.
  • Atletico San Luis is currently 15th in the standings and has not won in their last 2 matches.
  • Club America has a positive goal difference of +4 compared to Atletico San Luis's -1.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Club America

  • Strong home recordClub America

    Club America have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.

    2/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordAtletico San Luis

    Atletico San Luis have won 0 of their last 1 away matches.

    0/1 away wins
  • Higher league positionClub America

    Club America sit 14 places above Atletico San Luis in the table.

    #1 vs #15
  • Tighter defenseClub America

    Club America are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Club America at 64% — final result was Club America win, Club America 3-0 Atletico San Luis.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Club America1.47market 67.9% · model 64%
Draw4.26market 23.5% · model 21%
Atletico San Luis6.27market 16% · model 15%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Club America have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Atletico San Luis have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Club America wins
0Draws
2Atletico San Luis wins
18-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Club America1.47best 1.53
Draw4.26best 4.52
Atletico San Luis6.27best 7.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.70best 1.76
Under 2.52.10best 2.20

Both teams to score

Yes1.82best 1.91
No1.88best 1.95

Double chance

Club America/Draw1.11best 1.13
Club America/Atletico San Luis1.18best 1.22
Draw/Atletico San Luis2.54best 2.70

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.63best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.58best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.30

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Club America1.47 0.04
Draw4.26 0.29
Atletico San Luis6.27 0.69
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Club America win+0.7pp
AI
64%
Market
63.3%
Draw-0.9pp
AI
21%
Market
21.9%
Atletico San Luis win+0.1pp
AI
15%
Market
14.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Club America
5410+813WWDW
15
Atletico San Luis
3021-12DDL

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.5
1.2Goals conceded per game2.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Quintero

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
1Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Club America

0-15'
8.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
8.3%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
8.3%
76-90+'
58.3%

Atletico San Luis

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
85.7%

More Liga MX predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Club America vs Atletico San Luis?+

Our AI model favors Club America to win, with a 64% probability (Draw 21%, Atletico San Luis 15%).

Where is Club America vs Atletico San Luis played?+

The match is played at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City (capacity 87,000).

What time does Club America vs Atletico San Luis kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).