Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar
Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas · Capacity 10,000 · grass
Value found
+3.1% edgeClub Deportivo Los Chankas win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 28'Jorge Pretel
- 36'Bernardo Cuesta (Cristian Bordacahar)
- 46'Juan Ospina (André Vasquez)
- 46'Oshiro Takeuchi (Kenji Barrios)
- 58'M. Zegarra
- 59'Cristian Bordacahar
- 65'Johnny Vidales (Jhamir D'Arrigo)
- 65'M. Zegarra (N. Cabanillas)
- 65'Ayrthon Quintana (Brayan Guevara)
- 65'Kelvin Sánchez (Abdiel Ayarza)
- 73'N. Quagliata (M. Portillo)
- 75'Gonzalo Rizzo (Félix Espinoza)
- 83'Bernardo Cuesta (Franco Zanelatto)
- 83'Juan Escobar (Jesus Alcantar)
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The analysis indicates a competitive matchup, with FBC Melgar having the upper hand historically. While Club Deportivo Los Chankas remains strong at home, their overall scoring record suggests they may struggle against Melgar, who averages 1.8 goals per game. The numbers favor an away win for FBC Melgar based on their recent form and head-to-head dominance.
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas unbeaten at home this season (2W)
- FBC Melgar is currently 4 games unbeaten in their recent form (3W 1D)
- Historically, FBC Melgar has dominated this matchup with a 3-0-1 record in their last 4 encounters
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas averages 1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FBC Melgar
- Strong home recordClub Deportivo Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas have won 7 of their last 9 home matches.
7/9 home wins - Historical edgeFBC Melgar
FBC Melgar have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Sharper attackFBC Melgar
FBC Melgar are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Poor recent formClub Deportivo Los Chankas
Club Deportivo Los Chankas have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FBC Melgar at 40% — final result was FBC Melgar win, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0-3 FBC Melgar.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FBC Melgar have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 34 | WLWD |
| 4 |  FBC Melgar | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | +13 | 39 | WLDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
FBC Melgar
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Deportivo GarcilasoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar?+
Our AI model favors FBC Melgar to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 27%, Club Deportivo Los Chankas 33%).
Where is Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar played?+
The match is played at Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas (capacity 10,000).
What time does Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 8:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).