Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana · Capacity 33,333 · artificial turf · Referee: Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez
Match events
- 44'José Rivero (G. Mora)
- 45+2'Nicolás Ibáñez (Luka Romero)
- 46'P. N. Ortiz Orozco (J. Vega)
- 49'C. Ebere
- 54'G. Mora (J. Vega)
- 56'A. Preciado
- 57'José Rivero
- 61'A. Montes
- 65'D. Abreu (Mourad El Ghezouani)
- 68'Luka Romero (Andres Montaño)
- 68'Carlos Rodriguez (Gabriel Fernández)
- 74'Ángel Márquez
- 76'C. Ebere (R. Gonzalez)
- 80'José Paradela
- 81'G. Mora (Á. Zapata)
- 81'I. Tona (F. Gonzalez)
- 81'R. Arciga (Jonathan Padilla)
- 86'A. Montes (Amaury Garcia Moreno)
- 86'Ángel Márquez (J. Suarez)
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 2.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests a competitive matchup, though Cruz Azul has historically been stronger in their recent encounters with Club Tijuana. While Tijuana has performed well at home this season, their overall defensive weaknesses, reflected in their high goals conceded rate, may prove detrimental. The numbers favor Cruz Azul given their recent away success and ability to score in tough situations.
- Cruz Azul unbeaten in last 3 head-to-head matches against Club Tijuana
- Club Tijuana has won both home matches this season
- Cruz Azul has a stronger recent away form with 1 win from 1
- Club Tijuana's last 10 matches show a trend of conceding 2.3 goals per game
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cruz Azul
- Tighter defenseCruz Azul
Cruz Azul are conceding just 1.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game conceded - Higher league positionClub Tijuana
Club Tijuana sit 4 places above Cruz Azul in the table.
#2 vs #6 - Poor recent formClub Tijuana
Club Tijuana have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formCruz Azul
Cruz Azul have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cruz Azul at 41% — final result was Club Tijuana win, Club Tijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Club Tijuana have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Cruz Azul have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Cruz Azul
Club TijuanaClub TijuanaCruz AzulClub TijuanaCruz AzulCruz AzulClub TijuanaCruz AzulClub TijuanaClub TijuanaCruz AzulCruz AzulClub TijuanaClub TijuanaCruz AzulOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 | DWW |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | LWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Club Tijuana
Cruz Azul
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1G. MoraClub Tijuana⚽ 1🅰️ 18.9
- 2Nicolás IbáñezCruz Azul⚽ 17.5
- 3Jesús Gilberto Orozco ChiqueteCruz Azul7.5
- 4Jesús GómezClub Tijuana7.2
- 5José RiveroClub Tijuana⚽ 1🟨7.2
- 6I. TonaClub Tijuana7.2
Box score
Club Tijuana
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Bench (10)
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Cruz Azul
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Bench (10)
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Who is likely to win Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?+
Our AI model favors Cruz Azul to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 28%, Club Tijuana 31%).
Where is Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul played?+
The match is played at Estadio Caliente, Tijuana (capacity 33,333).
What time does Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 3:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).