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Colo Colo vs Union Espanola

Copa Chile· Group Stage - 6
Colo Colo
3–0Full-time
Union Espanola
LWDWGoals 16-14
LWWWGoals 13-15
Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile · Capacity 47,017 · grass

Value found

+2.1% edge

Union Espanola win

8.33AI fair odds
8.51Bookmaker odds
+2.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 22'M. Romero (M. Bolados)
  2. 45+4'M. Bolados (M. Fernandez)
  3. 46'R. Catalan (C. Diaz)
  4. 46'M. Bolados (F. Raipan)
  5. 46'F. Ratotti (P. Rubio)
  6. 46'T. Ovando (R. Vasquez)
  7. 46'G. Norambuena (R. Alarcon)
  8. 51'F. Raipan (E. Wiemberg)
  9. 67'T. Alarcón (S. Vega)
  10. 67'M. Fernandez (B. Silva)
  11. 67'M. Fernandez
  12. 69'M. Celis (B. Droguett)
  13. 69'C. Jaramillo
  14. 75'M. Romero (Y. Cuevas)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Colo ColoUnion Espanola
1.6
Goals/game
1.3
1.4
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Colo Colo win
72%
Draw
16%
Union Espanola win
12%
58.4%BTTS
55.4%Over 2.5
25.9%Colo Colo clean sheet
21.2%Union Espanola clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Colo Colo has a favorable record against Union Espanola, being unbeaten in the last three home encounters. With Colo Colo averaging 1.6 goals scored in their recent matches and Union Espanola allowing 1.5 goals, the numbers favor the home side in this matchup.

  • Colo Colo unbeaten in last 3 home matches against Union Espanola
  • Union Espanola has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in last 10 matches
  • Colo Colo scores an average of 1.6 goals per game in recent form
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
87/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Colo Colo

  • Historical edgeColo Colo

    Colo Colo have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Good recent formUnion Espanola

    Union Espanola have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackColo Colo

    Colo Colo are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.6/game
  • Tighter defenseColo Colo

    Colo Colo are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Colo Colo at 72% — final result was Colo Colo win, Colo Colo 3-0 Union Espanola.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (87/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Colo Colo ✓1.24market 80.5% · model 72%
Draw5.73market 17.5% · model 16%
Union Espanola8.51market 11.8% · model 12%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Colo Colo have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Union Espanola have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5Colo Colo wins
1Draws
2Union Espanola wins
17-8Goals
Union Espanola
1–2Nov 8, 2025, 6:00 PM
Colo Colo
Colo Colo
4–1May 24, 2025, 9:30 PM
Union Espanola
Colo Colo
2–1Jul 21, 2024, 9:30 PM
Union Espanola
Union Espanola
0–3Feb 17, 2024, 9:00 PM
Colo Colo
Colo Colo
0–2Dec 3, 2023, 9:00 PM
Union Espanola
Union Espanola
1–1May 13, 2023, 10:00 PM
Colo Colo
Colo Colo
4–0Sep 8, 2022, 10:00 PM
Union Espanola
Union Espanola
2–1Apr 10, 2022, 9:30 PM
Colo Colo

Odds comparison

Match winner

Colo Colo1.24▼best 1.29
Draw5.73▲best 6.30
Union Espanola8.51▲best 9.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.31▼best 1.40
Under 2.53.15▲best 3.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.60▼best 1.65
No2.18▼best 2.30

Double chance

Colo Colo/Draw1.04▼best 1.09
Colo Colo/Union Espanola1.09▼best 1.14
Draw/Union Espanola3.49▲best 3.80

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Colo Colo1.24▼ 0.20
Draw5.73▲ 1.83
Union Espanola8.51▲ 2.01
24 Aug – 27 Aug

Model vs market

Colo Colo win-1.4pp
AI
72%
Market
73.4%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
16%
Market
15.9%
Union Espanola win+1.3pp
AI
12%
Market
10.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.3
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Colo Colo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
42.9%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
14.3%

Union Espanola

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Colo Colo vs Union Espanola?+

Our AI model favors Colo Colo to win, with a 72% probability (Draw 16%, Union Espanola 12%).

Where is Colo Colo vs Union Espanola played?+

The match is played at Estadio Monumental David Arellano, Santiago de Chile (capacity 47,017).

What time does Colo Colo vs Union Espanola kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).