Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion

USL Championship· Group Stage
LWLLGoals 4-189th in league
WLLLGoals 14-2011th in league
Home6W 2D 3L(21-14)
Away1W 3D 4L(12-15)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 13'P. Kavita
  2. 24'N. Brown
  3. 45+4'Garven-Michee Metusala (Adrien Perez)
  4. 49'N. Brown
  5. 53'Adrien Perez
  6. 54'S. McIllhatton (A. Daley)
  7. 66'Garven-Michee Metusala
  8. 67'D. McCartney (S. Ngoma)
  9. 72'J. Fjeldberg (S. Masereka)
  10. 73'D. Williams (T. Magee)
  11. 74'J. Koleilat (T. McMullen)
  12. 84'G. Diarbian (P. Vassell)
  13. 86'S. Ngoma
  14. 87'S. Williams (J. Tejada)
  15. 88'M. Lacroix (M. Mahoney)
  16. 90+5'Adrien Perez (T. Magee)
  17. 90+9'J. Tejada (T. Maples)
  18. 90+11'Garven-Michee Metusala
  19. 90+11'Garven-Michee Metusala
  20. 90+14'Adrien Perez (S. Echevarria)

Lineups

Colorado SpringsBirmingham Legion
0.4
Goals/game
1.4
1.8
Conceded/game
2.0

AI match analysis

Colorado Springs win
65.22%
Draw
19.74%
Birmingham Legion win
15.04%
55.8%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
20.2%Colorado Springs clean sheet
30.1%Birmingham Legion clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-0

The data suggests that Colorado Springs holds a significant advantage heading into this match, particularly given their strong home record against Birmingham Legion. Historically, Colorado Springs has been successful in their recent encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. Moreover, Birmingham Legion's away struggles continue to hinder their performance, which could lead to a challenging match for them.

  • Colorado Springs unbeaten in their last 5 home matches against Birmingham Legion
  • Birmingham Legion has a poor away record this season with only 1 win in 7 matches
  • Colorado Springs' recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, particularly strong at home
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Colorado Springs

  • Historical edgeColorado Springs

    Colorado Springs have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    3/4 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordColorado Springs

    Colorado Springs have won 6 of their last 11 home matches.

    6/11 home wins
  • Weak away recordBirmingham Legion

    Birmingham Legion have won 1 of their last 8 away matches.

    1/8 away wins
  • Sharper attackBirmingham Legion

    Birmingham Legion are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Colorado Springs at 65.22% — final result was Colorado Springs win, Colorado Springs 3-2 Birmingham Legion.

Predicted score was 1-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Colorado Springs1.44market 69.7% · model 65.22%
Draw4.39market 22.8% · model 19.74%
Birmingham Legion5.89market 17% · model 15.04%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Colorado Springs have averaged 0.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Birmingham Legion have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Colorado Springs wins
0Draws
1Birmingham Legion wins
6-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Colorado Springs1.44best 1.55
Draw4.39best 4.80
Birmingham Legion5.89best 6.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.55best 1.62
Under 2.52.30best 2.45

Both teams to score

Yes1.67best 1.73
No2.06best 2.10

Double chance

Colorado Springs/Draw1.10best 1.13
Colorado Springs/Birmingham Legion1.16best 1.20
Draw/Birmingham Legion2.51best 2.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.25best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.57best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Colorado Springs1.44 0.12
Draw4.39 0.46
Birmingham Legion5.89 1.04
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Colorado Springs win+1.5pp
AI
65.22%
Market
63.7%
Draw-1.1pp
AI
19.74%
Market
20.8%
Birmingham Legion win-0.5pp
AI
15.04%
Market
15.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Colorado Springs
21849028LWLL
11
Birmingham Legion
19388-517LWLD

Pre-match comparison

0.4Goals scored per game1.4
1.8Goals conceded per game2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Matto

5.43Yellow cards / game
0.29Red cards / game
0.14Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Colorado Springs

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

Birmingham Legion

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
50%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More USL Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion?+

Our AI model favors Colorado Springs to win, with a 65.22% probability (Draw 19.74%, Birmingham Legion 15.04%).

What time does Colorado Springs vs Birmingham Legion kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).