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Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 4
Cracovia Krakow
2–1Full-time
Raków Częstochowa
WLDWGoals 16-144th in league
LWDLGoals 18-1418th in league
Home2W 0D 1L(5-5)
Away0W 0D 2L(2-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'P. Makuch (M. Emreli)
  2. 53'D. G. Debohi
  3. 56'A. Hasić (A. Hasić)
  4. 56'A. Hasić (A. Hasić)
  5. 57'M. Ameyaw (E. Otieno)
  6. 58'D. G. Debohi (V. Kochergin)
  7. 66'P. Makuch (Mohamed Lamine Diaby)
  8. 66'Tomasz Pieńko (O. Kwiatkowski)
  9. 70'K. Zahiroleslam (Mateusz Praszelik)
  10. 75'D. Pila (Mateusz Klich)
  11. 76'K. Struski (A. Molnar)
  12. 79'Mateusz Klich (B. Selan)
  13. 84'Dijon Kameri (Kacper Śmiglewski)
  14. 84'A. Hasić (Otar Kakabadze)

Lineups

Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
4-3-33-4-3
13
13. Sebastian Madejski
39
39. M. Perković
4. Gustav Henriksson
61. Brahim Traore
79
79. D. Pila
← 84'
70. Dijon Kameri
6
6. A. Al-Ammari
← 79'
43. Mateusz Klich
17
17. Martin Minchev
18
← 70'
18. K. Zahiroleslam
14
← 84'
14. A. Hasić
21
← 66'
21. Tomasz Pieńko
11
11. M. Emreli
9
← 66'
9. P. Makuch
19
← 57'
19. M. Ameyaw
23
← 76'
23. K. Struski
6
6. Oskar Repka
20
20. J. C. Silva
2
2. Jerzy Napieraj
25
25. Bogdan Racovițan
77
77. Didí Gaucho
1
1. Kacper Trelowski
Bartosz GrzelakCoachDawid Kroczek
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
Cracovia KrakowRaków Częstochowa
1.6
Goals/game
1.8
1.4
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Cracovia Krakow win
38%
Draw
30%
Raków Częstochowa win
32%
62%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
20.2%Cracovia Krakow clean sheet
22.3%Raków Częstochowa clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Statistical analysis suggests that Raków Częstochowa has the edge going into this matchup, having won three of their last five encounters with Cracovia Krakow. Both teams are currently struggling, but Cracovia's lack of a win at home this season could be a significant factor. The recent form trends indicate a tight match, but the probability slightly favors the away team.

  • Cracovia has a poor recent home record with 0 wins in their last 1 home game this season.
  • Raków has struggled in recent matches, with a below-average away record and zero points from two games this season.
  • Historically, Raków has dominated recent matchups, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters with Cracovia.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cracovia Krakow

  • Tighter defenseRaków Częstochowa

    Raków Częstochowa are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded
  • Sharper attackRaków Częstochowa

    Raków Częstochowa are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Higher league positionCracovia Krakow

    Cracovia Krakow sit 14 places above Raków Częstochowa in the table.

    #4 vs #18

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cracovia Krakow at 38% — final result was Cracovia Krakow win, Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Raków Częstochowa.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cracovia Krakow ✓2.41market 41.5% · model 38%
Raków Częstochowa2.90market 34.5% · model 32%
Draw3.14market 31.9% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Cracovia Krakow have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Raków Częstochowa have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Cracovia Krakow wins
2Draws
3Raków Częstochowa wins
8-9Goals
Raków Częstochowa
3–0Oct 29, 2025, 7:30 PM
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
0–0Feb 1, 2025, 4:30 PM
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
0–1Jul 29, 2024, 5:00 PM
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
2–0May 19, 2024, 10:30 AM
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
1–0Dec 6, 2023, 5:00 PM
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
1–1Nov 25, 2023, 2:00 PM
Cracovia Krakow
Raków Częstochowa
4–1Mar 18, 2023, 7:00 PM
Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow
3–0Sep 3, 2022, 6:00 PM
Raków Częstochowa

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cracovia Krakow2.41▼best 2.49
Draw3.14▼best 3.26
Raków Częstochowa2.90▲best 3.05

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.12▲best 2.19
Under 2.51.68▼best 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes1.82▲best 1.91
No1.89▼best 1.95

Double chance

Cracovia Krakow/Draw1.37▼best 1.44
Cracovia Krakow/Raków Częstochowa1.32▲best 1.36
Draw/Raków Częstochowa1.53▲best 1.57

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.02▼best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.31▼best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.27▲best 3.30
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.35▲best 1.38

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cracovia Krakow2.41▼ 0.35
Draw3.14▼ 0.01
Raków Częstochowa2.90▲ 0.42
13 Aug – 16 Aug

Model vs market

Cracovia Krakow win-0.5pp
AI
38%
Market
38.5%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
30%
Market
29.6%
Raków Częstochowa win0pp
AI
32%
Market
32%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Cracovia Krakow
522108WDLD
18
Raków Częstochowa
3003-30LLL

Pre-match comparison

1.6Goals scored per game1.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

P. Raczkowski

4.63Yellow cards / game
0.13Red cards / game
0.13Penalties scored / game

Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Cracovia Krakow

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
66.7%

Raków Częstochowa

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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X3.8722.76%
23.6825.61%
Prediction:Wisla Krakow
Ekstraklasa
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X3.2729.00%
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Prediction:Zaglebie Lubin

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa?+

Our AI model favors Cracovia Krakow to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 30%, Raków Częstochowa 32%).

What time does Cracovia Krakow vs Raków Częstochowa kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).