Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
Match events
- 23'Thomas James
- 29'Tommy Leigh
- 31'Louie Watson
- 41'Bobby Kamwa (Kofi Balmer)
- 43'Kofi Balmer
- 45'Substitution 1
- 48'Klaudio Krasniqi
- 57'Klaudio Krasniqi (Danilo Orsi)
- 59'Ade Adeyemo
- 68'Thomas James
- 80'Substitution 4 (Lewis Richards)
- 80'Jonathan Russell (Gianmarco biase di)
- 81'Riley Harbottle
- 90+1'Fabrizio Cavegn (Ellis Harrison)
- 90+4'Tommy Leigh (Jack Aitchison)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 2.3
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Crawley Town struggles at home, having lost their only home match this season. Conversely, Bristol Rovers possesses a potent attack, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game in recent matches, which could be crucial in this matchup. Head-to-head history favors Bristol Rovers, as they have won 3 of the last 5 encounters against Crawley Town.
- Crawley Town has lost their only home match this season.
- Bristol Rovers averaged 2.3 goals scored in their last 10 matches, indicating strong attacking form.
- Historically, Bristol Rovers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Crawley Town.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Bristol Rovers
- Sharper attackBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game - Historical edgeBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers sit 4 places above Crawley Town in the table.
#12 vs #16 - Tighter defenseCrawley Town
Crawley Town are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Bristol Rovers at 43.52% — final result was Bristol Rovers win, Crawley Town 0-2 Bristol Rovers.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Crawley Town have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Bristol Rovers have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Bristol Rovers
Crawley TownCrawley TownBristol RoversCrawley TownBristol RoversBristol RoversCrawley TownCrawley TownBristol RoversCrawley TownBristol RoversBristol RoversCrawley TownBristol RoversCrawley TownOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WL |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
L. Doughty
Based on 16 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
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RochdaleFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers?+
Our AI model favors Bristol Rovers to win, with a 43.52% probability (Draw 26.7%, Crawley Town 29.78%).
What time does Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).