Cremonese vs Sampdoria
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma · Capacity 20,034 · grass · Referee: D. Perenzoni
Match events
- 23'D. Stuckler (M. Collocolo)
- 52'J. Vandeputte
- 54'D. Stuckler (M. De Luca)
- 61'Tobias Lauritsen (G. Tutino)
- 61'G. Forte (Bjorn Meijer)
- 62'Federico Bonazzoli (T. Berti)
- 62'Alessandro Vogliacco (Francesco Folino)
- 69'Fabio Gerli
- 71'Liam Henderson
- 71'Giuseppe Pezzella
- 77'Salvatore Esposito (Salvatore Esposito)
- 82'S. Pontisso (Dachi Lordkipanidze)
- 82'M. Collocolo (M. Nasti)
- 85'Mattia Viti (Alex Ferrari)
- 85'D. Sinani (L. Paratici)
- 90+3'T. Berti
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a tightly matched encounter, as both teams have similar scoring averages in recent performances. Cremonese's home form has seen challenges, while Sampdoria's defense has shown resilience. Given their head-to-head history and recent statistical outputs, a draw at 1-1 appears likely.
- Cremonese scored 1 goal per game on average over their last 10 matches
- Sampdoria has a strong defensive record, conceding 0.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches
- Historically, recent meetings between the two teams have been closely contested, with multiple draws
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Cremonese
- Tighter defenseSampdoria
Sampdoria are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded - Historical edgeCremonese
Cremonese have won 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
2/6 H2H wins - Poor recent formCremonese
Cremonese have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Sharper attackCremonese
Cremonese are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Cremonese at 46% — final result was Cremonese win, Cremonese 2-0 Sampdoria.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Cremonese have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sampdoria have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Perenzoni
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Cremonese
Sampdoria
More Coppa Italia predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Cremonese vs Sampdoria?+
Our AI model favors Cremonese to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 29%, Sampdoria 25%).
Where is Cremonese vs Sampdoria played?+
The match is played at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma (capacity 20,034).
What time does Cremonese vs Sampdoria kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).