Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC
Match events
- 16'Gui Lobo
- 33'Rodrigo
- 42'Pedro Henrique (Luiz Fernando)
- 46'Ruan Carvalho (Hiago Alves)
- 50'Rodrigo
- 62'Gui Lobo (Jhonata Robert)
- 62'Caue Santos (Nicolás)
- 73'Fellipe Mateus (Yuri)
- 77'Pedro Henrique (Paulo Baya)
- 79'Luiz Fernando (Luan Freitas)
- 80'Mauricio Junior (Ryan)
- 85'Eduardo (Romarinho)
- 87'Paulo Baya (Lucas Sasha)
- 87'Ryan (Lucas Sasha)
- 90'J. B. Miritello (Lucas Crispim)
- 90'Lucas Sasha (Lucas Emanoel)
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.6
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a competitive match between Criciuma and Fortaleza EC, with Criciuma's strong home form playing a crucial role. Historically, Criciuma has dominated their recent matchups against Fortaleza EC, which could play into their advantage. Meanwhile, Fortaleza's struggles away from home may limit their chances to secure a victory.
- Criciuma unbeaten at home this season with 7 wins and 4 draws.
- Fortaleza EC has only 2 wins in their 12 away matches this season.
- Criciuma has a strong recent head-to-head record against Fortaleza EC, winning the last two encounters.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Criciuma
- Strong home recordCriciuma
Criciuma have won 7 of their last 12 home matches.
7/12 home wins - Weak away recordFortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC have won 3 of their last 13 away matches.
3/13 away wins - Sharper attackFortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseCriciuma
Criciuma are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Criciuma at 49% — final result was Fortaleza EC win, Criciuma 0-2 Fortaleza EC.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Criciuma have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Fortaleza EC have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  Criciuma | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | +8 | 44 | DWLD |
| 5 |  Fortaleza EC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +6 | 40 | DDDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Gomes Stefano
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
More Serie B predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC?+
Our AI model favors Criciuma to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 30%, Fortaleza EC 21%).
What time does Criciuma vs Fortaleza EC kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).