Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Monarcas — Liga de Expansión MX

Liga de Expansión MX· Apertura - 4

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

1–2Full-time

Monarcas

LDGoals 1-414th in league

WLLWWLGoals 13-146th in league

Home0W 1D 1L(2-3)

Away1W 0D 1L(2-2)

Estadio 10 de Diciembre, Jasso · Capacity 17,000 · grass

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

5'M. Nambo (E. Martínez)
40'D. Aguilar
46'K. Palacios (C. Valdivia)
46'A. A. Saavedra Nevarez (L. Samano)
46'E. Sanchez (K. Gonzalez)
47'L. Derbez
53'R. Rubio
58'Diego de Buen (D. Aguilar)
59'V. Lopez (M. Rodríguez)
59'D. Aguilar (J. Domínguez)
59'E. Villegas (C. Leon)
72'M. Nambo (D. Zamora)
81'R. Lopez Aburto
82'J. Montes (V. Taboada)
82'Raúl Sandoval (O. Botello)
82'A. Andrade (E. Castellanos)
87'V. Taboada
90+4'E. Martínez

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Cruz Azul HidalgoMonarcas

0.5
Goals/game: 1.3; 2.0
Conceded/game: 1.4

AI match analysis

Cruz Azul Hidalgo win

20%

Draw

30%

Monarcas win

50%

49.5%BTTS

48.2%Over 2.5

19.2%Cruz Azul Hidalgo clean sheet

38.7%Monarcas clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Statistical analysis indicates that Monarcas is positioned favorably given their recent form, winning two of their last three matches while Cruz Azul Hidalgo has struggled with a recent loss and a negative goal difference. Historically, Monarcas has shown a stronger performance with an average of 1.3 goals scored per match compared to Cruz Azul Hidalgo's difficulty in finding the net.

Monarcas in better recent form with two wins in last three matches
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has lost last match 0-3 and holds a goal difference of -3
Cruz Azul Hidalgo yet to win at home this season

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

65/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Monarcas

Poor recent formMonarcas
Monarcas have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Sharper attackMonarcas
Monarcas are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Tighter defenseMonarcas
Monarcas are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded
Higher league positionMonarcas
Monarcas sit 8 places above Cruz Azul Hidalgo in the table.
#6 vs #14

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

Limited recent-match sample
Cruz Azul Hidalgo has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Monarcas at 50% — final result was Monarcas win, Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1-2 Monarcas.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Match trends

Cruz Azul Hidalgo have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
Monarcas have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.