CS Herediano vs Sporting San Jose

Primera División· Apertura - 5
LLWWGoals 9-710th in league
DLLWGoals 8-115th in league
Home0W 1D 2L(1-7)
Away1W 1D 1L(5-3)
Estadio Carlos Alvarado

Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia · Capacity 8,700 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 42'G. Montes
  2. 53'J. Pinto
  3. 58'S. Rodriguez (K. Fuller)
  4. 67'Alexander López
  5. 69'R. Leal (A. Suarez)
  6. 69'L. Araya (A. Hudson)
  7. 76'J. Pinto (D. Colindres)
  8. 76'G. Leiva (J. Navarro)
  9. 81'Alexander López (Y. Salas)
  10. 82'M. George (R. Carballo)
  11. 84'D. Araya (E. Bravo)
  12. 84'D. Araya (Y. Román)
  13. 84'H. Quiros (E. Bravo)
  14. 85'E. Méndez (K. Blandon)
  15. 87'D. Colindres
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CS HeredianoSporting San Jose
0.9
Goals/game
0.8
0.7
Conceded/game
1.1

AI match analysis

CS Herediano win
42%
Draw
30%
Sporting San Jose win
28%
33.4%BTTS
25.6%Over 2.5
47.2%CS Herediano clean sheet
36.8%Sporting San Jose clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a closely contested match between CS Herediano and Sporting San Jose, with both teams struggling for form early in the season. Historically, their recent meetings have been low-scoring with a tendency towards draws, which is further supported by both teams averaging less than a goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.

  • CS Herediano has not won at home this season with a record of 0W 1D 1L.
  • Sporting San Jose has scored 0.8 goals per game and conceded 1.1 in the last 10 matches.
  • The last 5 meetings between the two teams included 2 draws and no wins for either team.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
77/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CS Herediano

  • Historical edgeCS Herediano

    CS Herediano have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    6/8 H2H wins
  • Tighter defenseCS Herediano

    CS Herediano are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Higher league positionSporting San Jose

    Sporting San Jose sit 5 places above CS Herediano in the table.

    #5 vs #10
  • Good recent formCS Herediano

    CS Herediano have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CS Herediano at 42% — final result was Sporting San Jose win, CS Herediano 0-3 Sporting San Jose.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

CS Herediano2.11market 47.3% · model 42%
Draw3.06market 32.6% · model 30%
Sporting San Jose3.32market 30.2% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CS Herediano have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Sporting San Jose have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6CS Herediano wins
2Draws
0Sporting San Jose wins
13-2Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

CS Herediano2.11best 2.24
Draw3.06best 3.26
Sporting San Jose3.32best 3.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.19best 2.25
Under 2.51.61best 1.68

Both teams to score

Yes1.90best 1.96
No1.79best 1.83

Double chance

CS Herediano/Draw1.27best 1.35
CS Herediano/Sporting San Jose1.30best 1.35
Draw/Sporting San Jose1.62best 1.77

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.30best 1.30

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CS Herediano2.11 0.04
Draw3.06
Sporting San Jose3.31 0.14
20 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

CS Herediano win-1pp
AI
42%
Market
43%
Draw+0.4pp
AI
30%
Market
29.6%
Sporting San Jose win+0.6pp
AI
28%
Market
27.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
10
CS Herediano
5023-72LLDD
5
Sporting San Jose
5221+48WLDD

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game0.8
0.7Goals conceded per game1.1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

CS Herediano

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

Sporting San Jose

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
37.5%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CS Herediano vs Sporting San Jose?+

Our AI model favors CS Herediano to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 30%, Sporting San Jose 28%).

Where is CS Herediano vs Sporting San Jose played?+

The match is played at Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia (capacity 8,700).

What time does CS Herediano vs Sporting San Jose kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).