CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
CSKA 1948
12After Extra Time
Panathinaikos
DWWLGoals 15-7
WLDWGoals 12-13

Value found

+1.1% edge

CSKA 1948 win

4.71AI fair odds
4.76Bookmaker odds
+1.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 41'G. Katris
  2. 41'Georgios Katris
  3. 60'Levi García
  4. 64'Elmin Rastoder
  5. 65'A. Iliev (M. Diallo)
  6. 66'Levi García (A. Jagusic)
  7. 66'Elmin Rastoder (Cyriel Dessers)
  8. 71'Moataz Zemzemi
  9. 72'Moataz Zemzemi (E. Franco)
  10. 80'Anass Zaroury (A. Touba)
  11. 83'J. Meyer (P. Vitanov)
  12. 83'Georgi Rusev (B. Sobrero)
  13. 87'L. Dvali
  14. 88'Pedro Chirivella (A. Čerin)
  15. 89'S. Andino (V. Taborda)
  16. 95'Cyriel Dessers (Georgios Kyriakopoulos)
  17. 102'H. Cuellar (Florian Krebs)
  18. 105+1'Georgios Kyriakopoulos (S. Kontouris)
  19. 106'Georgios Kyriakopoulos (A. Tetteh)
  20. 108'Diego Medina (Dragan Grivić)
  21. 112'Frédéric Maciel
  22. 112'E. Franco

Lineups

CSKA 1948Panathinaikos
1.5
Goals/game
1.2
0.7
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

CSKA 1948 win
21.24%
Draw
26.5%
Panathinaikos win
52.26%
46.2%BTTS
41.7%Over 2.5
38.7%CSKA 1948 clean sheet
24.7%Panathinaikos clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The analysis indicates that CSKA 1948, with a recent mixed form, may struggle against an organized Panathinaikos side that has a strong defensive record despite their recent difficulties in scoring. Panathinaikos' tendency to draw matches suggests they can hold their opponents, but their low scoring could lead to a tight encounter. The numbers favor the away team due to their overall better league performance.

  • CSKA 1948 has a mixed form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
  • Panathinaikos has drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, indicating resilience in defense.
  • CSKA 1948 averages 1.29 goals scored but also concedes 1.57 goals per game.
  • Panathinaikos' last 10 matches show an average of only 1 goal scored per game.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Panathinaikos

  • Good recent formCSKA 1948

    CSKA 1948 have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Good recent formPanathinaikos

    Panathinaikos have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackCSKA 1948

    CSKA 1948 are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defensePanathinaikos

    Panathinaikos are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Panathinaikos at 52.26% — final result was Panathinaikos win, CSKA 1948 1-2 Panathinaikos.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Panathinaikos1.71market 58.4% · model 52.26%
Draw3.47market 28.8% · model 26.5%
CSKA 19484.76market 21% · model 21.24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CSKA 1948 have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Panathinaikos have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

CSKA 19484.76best 5.10
Draw3.47best 3.65
Panathinaikos1.71best 1.77

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.95best 1.99
Under 2.51.82best 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes1.85best 1.91
No1.85best 1.91

Double chance

CSKA 1948/Draw2.06best 2.12
CSKA 1948/Panathinaikos1.26best 1.30
Draw/Panathinaikos1.16best 1.19

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.17best 1.17
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.50best 4.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CSKA 19484.76 0.23
Draw3.47 0.05
Panathinaikos1.71
9 Aug11 Aug

Model vs market

CSKA 1948 win+1.8pp
AI
21.24%
Market
19.4%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
26.5%
Market
26.6%
Panathinaikos win-1.7pp
AI
52.26%
Market
54%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.2
0.7Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

J. Vergoote

2Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

CSKA 1948

0-15'
20%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
10%
61-75'
10%
76-90+'
20%

Panathinaikos

0-15'
0%
16-30'
9.1%
31-45'
9.1%
46-60'
18.2%
61-75'
36.4%
76-90+'
27.3%

Match statistics

50%Possession50%
Expected goals (xG)
5Shots on target11
14Total shots21
8Shots off target8
1Blocked shots2
9Shots inside the box12
5Shots outside the box9
3Corners6
1Offsides2
13Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
Red cards
9Goalkeeper saves4
638Total passes661
553Accurate passes576
87%Pass accuracy87%

Player ratings

Box score

CSKA 1948

22
22O. GaševićD · 120'
5.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes41%
Tackles2
Duels67%
67
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes37%
Tackles2
Duels53%
1
1P. MarinovG · 120'
7.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes25%
Tackles
Duels100%
2
2Diego MedinaD · 105'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes51%
Tackles3
Duels50%
4
4Andre HoffmannD · 120'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes78%
Tackles4
Duels64%
3
3L. Dvali (C)D · 120'
18.0
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes95%
Tackles1
Duels50%
33
33H. CuellarM · 101'
7.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes61%
Tackles4
Duels69%
8
🟨6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes39%
Tackles1
Duels50%
30
30J. MeyerM · 83'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes39%
Tackles
Duels75%
11
11Georgi RusevF · 83'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes20%
Tackles1
Duels57%
9
9A. IlievF · 65'
6.7
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes2%
Tackles
Duels36%
Bench (16)
31
96
96Dragan GrivićD · 15'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes9%
Tackles
Duels
20
20Brian SobreroM · 37'
7.2
More stats
Shots1/3 on target
Passes20%
Tackles1
Duels67%
23
23Florian KrebsM · 19'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes14%
Tackles1
Duels33%
34
34P. VitanovM · 37'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes11%
Tackles1
Duels33%
77
77E. FrancoF · 48'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes2%
Tackles
Duels14%
93
93Mamadou DialloF · 55'
6.2
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes9%
Tackles
Duels13%
93
20
19
14

Panathinaikos

6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes52%
Tackles2
Duels50%
77
6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes56%
Tackles3
Duels45%
11Anass ZarouryM · 80'
6.9
More stats
Shots2/3 on target
Passes41%
Tackles
Duels0%
7.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes73%
Tackles3
Duels69%
3
3
3Georgios KatrisD · 120'
🟨6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes66%
Tackles
Duels60%
10
10S. AndinoF · 88'
7.2
More stats
Shots2/4 on target
Passes26%
Tackles5
Duels59%
7.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes75%
Tackles1
Duels75%
99Levi GarcíaF · 66'
17.6
More stats
Shots2/3 on target
Passes19%
Tackles
Duels25%
22Etienne CamaraM · 120'
7.0
More stats
Shots on target
Passes59%
Tackles
Duels29%
1
1Iñaki PeñaG · 120'
7.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes21%
Tackles
Duels100%
74Elmin RastoderF · 65'
🟨6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes8%
Tackles
Duels25%
Bench (14)
16
16A. ČerinM · 32'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes19%
Tackles2
Duels50%
5
5A. ToubaD · 40'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes14%
Tackles2
Duels100%
28
70
17.3
More stats
Shots3/3 on target
Passes7%
Tackles1
Duels36%
20
20V. TabordaF · 32'
6.6
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes17%
Tackles1
Duels43%
7
8
8A. JagusicM · 54'
6.2
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes20%
Tackles
Duels38%
18
18S. KontourisM · 16'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes3%
Tackles
Duels

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos?+

Our AI model favors Panathinaikos to win, with a 52.26% probability (Draw 26.5%, CSKA 1948 21.24%).

What time does CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 11, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).