CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Targoviste

Cupa României· Final
WWLDGoals 13-17
WWWLGoals 18-15

Value found

+17.9% edge

CSM Ramnicu Valcea win

4AI fair odds
4.72Bookmaker odds
+17.9%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 15'R. Mihai
  2. 18'R. Mihai
  3. 48'S. Visic
  4. 49'D. Grigore
  5. 120+1'G. Honciu
  6. 120+1'M. Danciu
  7. 120+2'C. Neguț
  8. 120+2'S. Ivan
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CSM Ramnicu ValceaChindia Targoviste
1.3
Goals/game
1.8
1.7
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

CSM Ramnicu Valcea win
25%
Draw
24%
Chindia Targoviste win
51%
62.2%BTTS
61%Over 2.5
17.4%CSM Ramnicu Valcea clean sheet
24.7%Chindia Targoviste clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Chindia Targoviste has a stronger recent form, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three victories. In contrast, CSM Ramnicu Valcea has struggled, losing three of their last five encounters, which contributes to a lower expectation for their performance in this final.

  • Chindia Targoviste unbeaten in last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws)
  • CSM Ramnicu Valcea averages 1.4 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
  • CSM Ramnicu Valcea has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
68/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Chindia Targoviste

  • Good recent formChindia Targoviste

    Chindia Targoviste have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackChindia Targoviste

    Chindia Targoviste are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Tighter defenseChindia Targoviste

    Chindia Targoviste are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Chindia Targoviste at 51% — final result was a draw, CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1-1 Chindia Targoviste.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Chindia Targoviste1.63market 61.4% · model 51%
Draw3.48market 28.7% · model 24%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea4.72market 21.2% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CSM Ramnicu Valcea have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chindia Targoviste have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

CSM Ramnicu Valcea4.72best 5.48
Draw3.48best 3.85
Chindia Targoviste1.63best 1.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.05best 2.25
Under 2.51.66best 1.81

Both teams to score

Yes2.00best 2.15
No1.68best 1.85

Double chance

CSM Ramnicu Valcea/Draw2.07best 2.25
CSM Ramnicu Valcea/Chindia Targoviste1.21best 1.30
Draw/Chindia Targoviste1.14best 1.25

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CSM Ramnicu Valcea4.72 1.47
Draw3.48 0.35
Chindia Targoviste1.63 0.57
16 Aug18 Aug

Model vs market

CSM Ramnicu Valcea win+6pp
AI
25%
Market
19%
Draw-1.8pp
AI
24%
Market
25.8%
Chindia Targoviste win-4.2pp
AI
51%
Market
55.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.8
1.7Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

0-15'
50%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Chindia Targoviste

0-15'
66.7%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Cupa României predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Targoviste?+

Our AI model favors Chindia Targoviste to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 24%, CSM Ramnicu Valcea 25%).

What time does CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Targoviste kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).