CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Targoviste
Value found
+17.9% edgeCSM Ramnicu Valcea win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 15'R. Mihai
- 18'R. Mihai
- 48'S. Visic
- 49'D. Grigore
- 120+1'G. Honciu
- 120+1'M. Danciu
- 120+2'C. Neguț
- 120+2'S. Ivan
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Chindia Targoviste has a stronger recent form, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three victories. In contrast, CSM Ramnicu Valcea has struggled, losing three of their last five encounters, which contributes to a lower expectation for their performance in this final.
- Chindia Targoviste unbeaten in last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws)
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea averages 1.4 goals scored per game in last 10 matches
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chindia Targoviste
- Good recent formChindia Targoviste
Chindia Targoviste have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackChindia Targoviste
Chindia Targoviste are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Tighter defenseChindia Targoviste
Chindia Targoviste are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chindia Targoviste at 51% — final result was a draw, CSM Ramnicu Valcea 1-1 Chindia Targoviste.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chindia Targoviste have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Chindia Targoviste
More Cupa României predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Targoviste?+
Our AI model favors Chindia Targoviste to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 24%, CSM Ramnicu Valcea 25%).
What time does CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs Chindia Targoviste kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

