CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti
Match events
- 31'Luciano Gaston Vega
- 44'D. Paraschiv
- 48'S. Visic
- 89'C. Chira
- 109'Ioan Tolea
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests that CSM Reşiţa has been more effective in recent matches, winning three of their last five, yet they face a Petrolul Ploiesti team that tends to concede relatively frequently. CSM averages 1.5 goals scored per game, which could be challenged by Petrolul's defensive struggles. Given both teams' trends and the potential for a tightly contested match, a draw appears plausible.
- CSM Reşiţa won 3 of their last 5 matches
- CSM Reşiţa averages 1.5 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- Petrolul Ploiesti has a recent average of 1.2 goals scored but 1.4 conceded in their last 10 matches
- Petrolul Ploiesti has drawn 2 of their last 5 matches, indicating potential for a close outcome
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors CSM Reşiţa
- Tighter defenseCSM Reşiţa
CSM Reşiţa are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded - Good recent formCSM Reşiţa
CSM Reşiţa have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Good recent formPetrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul Ploiesti have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackCSM Reşiţa
CSM Reşiţa are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked CSM Reşiţa at 46% — final result was Petrolul Ploiesti win, CSM Reşiţa 2-3 Petrolul Ploiesti.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- CSM Reşiţa have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Petrolul Ploiesti have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
CSM Reşiţa
Petrolul Ploiesti
More Cupa României predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?+
Our AI model favors CSM Reşiţa to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 24%, Petrolul Ploiesti 30%).
What time does CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).

