CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Cupa României· Final
CSM Reşiţa
23After Extra Time
Petrolul Ploiesti
WWLWGoals 14-12
WWLWGoals 13-17
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Luciano Gaston Vega
  2. 44'D. Paraschiv
  3. 48'S. Visic
  4. 89'C. Chira
  5. 109'Ioan Tolea
Lineups unavailable for this match.
CSM ReşiţaPetrolul Ploiesti
1.4
Goals/game
1.3
1.2
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

CSM Reşiţa win
46%
Draw
24%
Petrolul Ploiesti win
30%
56.2%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
28.7%CSM Reşiţa clean sheet
21.2%Petrolul Ploiesti clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests that CSM Reşiţa has been more effective in recent matches, winning three of their last five, yet they face a Petrolul Ploiesti team that tends to concede relatively frequently. CSM averages 1.5 goals scored per game, which could be challenged by Petrolul's defensive struggles. Given both teams' trends and the potential for a tightly contested match, a draw appears plausible.

  • CSM Reşiţa won 3 of their last 5 matches
  • CSM Reşiţa averages 1.5 goals scored in their last 10 matches
  • Petrolul Ploiesti has a recent average of 1.2 goals scored but 1.4 conceded in their last 10 matches
  • Petrolul Ploiesti has drawn 2 of their last 5 matches, indicating potential for a close outcome
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
60/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CSM Reşiţa

  • Tighter defenseCSM Reşiţa

    CSM Reşiţa are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded
  • Good recent formCSM Reşiţa

    CSM Reşiţa have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Good recent formPetrolul Ploiesti

    Petrolul Ploiesti have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackCSM Reşiţa

    CSM Reşiţa are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CSM Reşiţa at 46% — final result was Petrolul Ploiesti win, CSM Reşiţa 2-3 Petrolul Ploiesti.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

CSM Reşiţa2.05market 48.7% · model 46%
Petrolul Ploiesti3.06market 32.7% · model 30%
Draw3.35market 29.8% · model 24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • CSM Reşiţa have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Petrolul Ploiesti have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

CSM Reşiţa2.05best 2.25
Draw3.35best 3.71
Petrolul Ploiesti3.06best 3.25

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.86best 2.08
Under 2.51.81best 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes1.71best 1.87
No1.96best 2.07

Double chance

CSM Reşiţa/Draw1.30best 1.38
CSM Reşiţa/Petrolul Ploiesti1.25best 1.31
Draw/Petrolul Ploiesti1.65best 1.75

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

CSM Reşiţa2.05 0.87
Draw3.35 0.30
Petrolul Ploiesti3.06 0.63
16 Aug18 Aug

Model vs market

CSM Reşiţa win+2.2pp
AI
46%
Market
43.8%
Draw-2.8pp
AI
24%
Market
26.8%
Petrolul Ploiesti win+0.6pp
AI
30%
Market
29.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.3
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

CSM Reşiţa

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
12.5%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
25%

Petrolul Ploiesti

0-15'
40%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
20%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
0%

More Cupa României predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti?+

Our AI model favors CSM Reşiţa to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 24%, Petrolul Ploiesti 30%).

What time does CSM Reşiţa vs Petrolul Ploiesti kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 18, 2026, 2:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).