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Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar

Primera A· Clausura - 7
Cucuta
1–0Full-time
Alianza Valledupar
LLDWGoals 5-119th in league
WLLDGoals 13-1017th in league
Home1W 1D 0L(2-1)
Away1W 3D 6L(6-18)
Estadio General Santander

Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta · Capacity 42,901 · grass

Value found

+6.2% edge

Cucuta win

2.22AI fair odds
2.36Bookmaker odds
+6.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 24'J. Peralta (J. Peralta)
  2. 27'J. Peralta (J. Peralta)
  3. 34'J. Quinones
  4. 41'C. Vergara
  5. 45+2'C. Vergara (C. Vergara)
  6. 45'L. Rios
  7. 46'F. Cantillo (C. Esparragoza)
  8. 46'J. Quinones (L. Ochoa)
  9. 56'E. M. Duarte Barajas
  10. 58'J. Peralta
  11. 61'J. Figueroa
  12. 62'Felipe Pardo
  13. 63'J. Peralta (L. Berdugo)
  14. 64'L. Rios (J. Diaz)
  15. 71'I. Alba
  16. 71'Felipe Pardo (D. Quinones)
  17. 72'L. Berdugo (V. Mejia)
  18. 77'I. Alba (C. Villegas)
  19. 77'J. Lasso (M. Martínez)
  20. 83'Y. Abonia (K. Tamayo)
  21. 83'E. M. Duarte Barajas (M. B. Carabali Lopez)
  22. 88'C. Villegas
  23. 90+1'M. Martínez
  24. 90+1'L. Ochoa

Lineups

Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
5-4-14-1-4-1
12
12. Federico Abadía
27
← 83'
27. E. M. Duarte Barajas
30
30. Brayan Montaño
4
← 46'
4. J. Quinones
3
3. Diego Calcaterra
26
← 83'
26. Y. Abonia
29
← 64'
29. L. Rios
8
8. Juan Ceballos
77
77. C. Rentería
10
← 72'
10. L. Berdugo
9
9. J. Peralta
18
18. C. Vergara
8
8. Jesús Muñoz
24
← 46'
24. F. Cantillo
55
55. W. Fernández
23
← 77'
23. I. Alba
← 71'
17. Felipe Pardo
33
← 77'
33. J. Lasso
32
32. Juan Viveros
22
22. J. Figueroa
60
60. Yilson Rosales
1. Johan Wallens
Nicolas ChiesaCoachCamilo Ayala
Bench (9)
Bench (7)
CucutaAlianza Valledupar
0.5
Goals/game
1.3
1.1
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Cucuta win
45%
Draw
30%
Alianza Valledupar win
25%
36.9%BTTS
31%Over 2.5
30.1%Cucuta clean sheet
47.2%Alianza Valledupar clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a competitive match between Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar, with both teams struggling for form. Cucuta's recent home performance has been lackluster, failing to secure a win in their last 5 matches. Meanwhile, Alianza Valledupar's away record exacerbates their difficulties, but their head-to-head history indicates potential for a draw.

  • Cucuta has not won any of their last 5 home matches.
  • Alianza Valledupar has a poor away record with 6 losses in 10 games.
  • Historically, the last 5 encounters between the teams show a balanced competition with close results.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cucuta

  • Poor recent formCucuta

    Cucuta have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Sharper attackAlianza Valledupar

    Alianza Valledupar are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Historical edgeCucuta

    Cucuta have won 2 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    2/5 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionCucuta

    Cucuta sit 8 places above Alianza Valledupar in the table.

    #9 vs #17

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cucuta at 45% — final result was Cucuta win, Cucuta 1-0 Alianza Valledupar.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cucuta ✓2.36market 42.4% · model 45%
Draw2.95market 33.9% · model 30%
Alianza Valledupar3.19market 31.4% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Cucuta have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Alianza Valledupar have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 5 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Cucuta wins
2Draws
1Alianza Valledupar wins
5-5Goals
Cucuta
0–2Feb 8, 2020, 9:05 PM
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
1–1Oct 6, 2019, 1:00 AM
Alianza Valledupar
Alianza Valledupar
0–1Apr 14, 2019, 8:00 PM
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
1–1Mar 21, 2019, 12:00 AM
Cucuta
Cucuta
2–1Mar 15, 2019, 12:30 AM
Alianza Valledupar

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cucuta2.36▲best 2.47
Draw2.95▼best 3.20
Alianza Valledupar3.19▼best 3.35

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.42▲best 2.51
Under 2.51.52▼best 1.57

Both teams to score

Yes2.01▲best 2.10
No1.72▼best 1.80

Double chance

Cucuta/Draw1.31▲best 1.35
Cucuta/Alianza Valledupar1.35▲best 1.40
Draw/Alianza Valledupar1.55▼best 1.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.29▼best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.35▼best 2.45
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.52▲best 1.57
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.35▲best 3.50

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cucuta2.36▲ 0.05
Draw2.95▼ 0.10
Alianza Valledupar3.19▲ 0.05
23 Aug – 26 Aug

Model vs market

Cucuta win+5.6pp
AI
45%
Market
39.4%
Draw-1.5pp
AI
30%
Market
31.5%
Alianza Valledupar win-4.1pp
AI
25%
Market
29.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
9
Cucuta
6222-48WDLD
17
Alianza Valledupar
19388-1417DLLD

Pre-match comparison

0.5Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Cucuta

0-15'
0%
16-30'
50%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Alianza Valledupar

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar?+

Our AI model favors Cucuta to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 30%, Alianza Valledupar 25%).

Where is Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar played?+

The match is played at Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta (capacity 42,901).

What time does Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).