Cusco vs Juan Pablo II College — Primera División

Primera División· Clausura - 5

Cusco

2–0Full-time

Juan Pablo II College

LDWLWLGoals 15-126th in league

DLWLDWGoals 10-1410th in league

Home5W 2D 1L(11-6)

Away0W 1D 2L(2-6)

Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco · Capacity 42,056 · grass

Match events

6'F. Callejo (Nicolás Silva)
11'Aldair Fuentes (C. Gamarra)
28'C. Villanueva
30'I. Colman
30'Matias Almiron
38'Jean Carlos Montaño
46'C. Villanueva (J. P. Goicochea Del Carpio)
57'J. Manzaneda (Miguel Silveira)
57'Jean Carlos Montaño (Oswaldo Valenzuela)
62'E. Ramírez (M. Alaníz)
63'J. Posito (M. Rodriguez)
73'C. Diez (Diego Soto)
73'I. Colman (J. Tévez)
80'J. Toledo (Piero Anton)
87'N. Ramirez (A. Hendricks)
89'Matias Almiron
90+5'C. Flores

Lineups

Cusco

Juan Pablo II College

4-1-4-14-4-2

Alejandro OrfilaCoach

Jorge Araujo

Bench (9)

Bench (6)

AI match analysis

Cusco win

73%

Draw

16%

Juan Pablo II College win

11%

51.1%BTTS

46.9%Over 2.5

33.3%Cusco clean sheet

23.5%Juan Pablo II College clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

The data suggests Cusco is in solid form, particularly at home, where they have secured two consecutive victories. In contrast, Juan Pablo II College has struggled away from home, failing to win any matches this season and averaging only 0.6 goals scored per game. Given these trends, the numbers favor a Cusco victory with a likely score of 2-0.

Cusco unbeaten at home this season with 2 wins from 2 matches
Juan Pablo II College has not won any of their away games this season
Cusco averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cusco

Strong home recordCusco
Cusco have won 5 of their last 8 home matches.
5/8 home wins
Weak away recordJuan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins
Sharper attackCusco
Cusco are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game
Historical edgeCusco
Cusco have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
1/2 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Cusco at 73% — final result was Cusco win, Cusco 2-0 Juan Pablo II College.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cusco ✓1.31market 76.1% · model 73%

Draw5.09market 19.7% · model 16%

Juan Pablo II College8.01market 12.5% · model 11%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Cusco have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Juan Pablo II College have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Cusco wins

1Draws

0Juan Pablo II College wins

4-2Goals

Juan Pablo II College

0–0Aug 22, 2025, 8:15 PM

Cusco

4–2Apr 6, 2025, 6:15 PM

Juan Pablo II College

Odds comparison

Match winner

Cusco1.31▼best 1.37

Draw5.09▲best 5.61

Juan Pablo II College8.01▲best 9.80

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.50▲best 1.55

Under 2.52.40▼best 2.55

Both teams to score

Yes1.79▲best 1.85

No1.92▼best 1.98

Double chance

Cusco/Draw1.06▼best 1.09

Cusco/Juan Pablo II College1.13best 1.18

Draw/Juan Pablo II College3.15▲best 3.40

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06▼best 1.06

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes10.00▲best 10.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.67▲best 1.67

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.10▼best 2.10

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Cusco1.31▼ 0.09

Draw5.09▲ 0.50

Juan Pablo II College8.01▲ 1.71

11 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Cusco win+2.7pp

AI

73%

Market

70.3%

Draw-2.2pp

AI

16%

Market

18.2%

Juan Pablo II College win-0.5pp

AI

11%

Market

11.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.