D. La Serena vs Cobresal — Primera División

Primera División· Regular Season - 20

D. La Serena

3–3Full-time

Cobresal

LDLLDWGoals 10-1710th in league

WLWLLLGoals 11-1815th in league

Home3W 4D 3L(17-14)

Away1W 3D 7L(16-25)

Match events

6'Á. Henríquez (Jeisson Vargas)
20'Franco Bechtholdt
30'Julián Brea (Felipe Villagrán)
50'Felipe Chamorro
53'Christian Moreno
57'Benjamín Valenzuela
59'Á. Henríquez (Diego Rubio)
60'Julián Brea (César Yanis)
65'Christian Moreno
66'Matías Marín (Felipe Chamorro)
69'Gonzalo Escalante (Gonzalo Gabriel Figueroa)
69'Fernando Dinamarca (Yahir Salazar)
69'Gonzalo Escalante (G. Figueroa)
70'Benjamín Valenzuela (F. Frías)
73'Bruno Gutiérrez
76'Janpol Morales (Bryan Carvallo)
76'Steffan Pino (Martín Espinoza)
76'Victor Manuel Campos Mella (Aaron Astudillo)
80'F. Frías
89'G. Figueroa
90'Rafael Delgado

Lineups

D. La Serena

Cobresal

4-2-3-1

4-1-4-1

Francisco BozanCoach

Gustavo Huerta

Bench (9)

AI match analysis

D. La Serena win

57%

Draw

23%

Cobresal win

20%

56.8%BTTS

53.1%Over 2.5

24.7%D. La Serena clean sheet

24.7%Cobresal clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a balanced encounter between D. La Serena and Cobresal, with D. La Serena showing improved form at home despite an average overall record. The recent history indicates low-scoring games, and with both teams struggling defensively, the likelihood of a draw seems plausible.

D. La Serena unbeaten in last 3 home matches
Cobresal has only 1 away win this season
Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested with mixed results

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

95/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors D. La Serena

Weak home recordD. La Serena
D. La Serena have won 3 of their last 10 home matches.
3/10 home wins
Weak away recordCobresal
Cobresal have won 1 of their last 11 away matches.
1/11 away wins
Historical edgeCobresal
Cobresal have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Higher league positionD. La Serena
D. La Serena sit 5 places above Cobresal in the table.
#10 vs #15

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked D. La Serena at 57% — final result was a draw, D. La Serena 3-3 Cobresal.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (95/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

D. La Serena1.67market 59.8% · model 57%

Draw ✓3.83market 26.1% · model 23%

Cobresal4.49market 22.3% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

D. La Serena have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Cobresal have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2D. La Serena wins

2Draws

4Cobresal wins

9-14Goals

D. La Serena

0–2Jul 26, 2025, 7:00 PM

Cobresal

D. La Serena

1–1May 11, 2025, 7:00 PM

Cobresal

3–1Feb 23, 2025, 9:00 PM

D. La Serena

Cobresal

1–2Jan 27, 2025, 9:00 PM

D. La Serena

Cobresal

1–1Aug 6, 2022, 7:00 PM

D. La Serena

2–3Mar 11, 2022, 9:00 PM

Cobresal

D. La Serena

2–1Oct 10, 2021, 5:00 PM

Cobresal

2–0May 22, 2021, 3:00 PM

D. La Serena

Odds comparison

Match winner

D. La Serena1.67▼best 1.75

Draw3.83▲best 4.17

Cobresal4.49▲best 4.90

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.65▼best 1.70

Under 2.52.17▲best 2.30

Both teams to score

Yes1.63▼best 1.67

No2.13▲best 2.20

Double chance

D. La Serena/Draw1.17▼best 1.22

D. La Serena/Cobresal1.22▼best 1.25

Draw/Cobresal2.06▲best 2.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.12▼best 1.12

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.00▲best 6.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.44best 1.44

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.62best 2.62

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

D. La Serena1.67▼ 0.05

Draw3.83▲ 0.16

Cobresal4.49▲ 0.34

20 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

D. La Serena win+1.7pp

AI

57%

Market

55.3%

Draw-1.1pp

AI

23%

Market

24.1%

Cobresal win-0.6pp

AI

20%

Market

20.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
10	D. La Serena	20	5	9	6	-3	24	DWDLD
15	Cobresal	20	5	3	12	-10	18	DLLWD

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.1

1.7Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Piero Maza

6.45Yellow cards / game

0Red cards / game

0.73Penalties scored / game

Based on 11 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

D. La Serena

0-15'

0%

16-30'

33.3%

31-45'

33.3%

46-60'

33.3%

61-75'

0%

76-90+'

0%

Match statistics

55%Possession45%

1.98Expected goals (xG)1.8

10Shots on target8

19Total shots21

4Shots off target6

5Blocked shots7

9Shots inside the box9

10Shots outside the box12

5Corners7

2Offsides0

15Fouls10

2Yellow cards3

—Red cards—

6Goalkeeper saves8

405Total passes329

328Accurate passes247

81%Pass accuracy75%

Player ratings

1Julián BreaCobresal⚽ 18.0
2Matías MarínD. La Serena⚽ 18.0
3Felipe VillagránCobresal🅰️ 17.7
4Jeisson VargasD. La Serena🅰️ 17.7
5F. FríasCobresal⚽ 17.3
6Matías OlguínCobresal7.3

Box score

D. La Serena

10Jeisson Vargas (C)M · 90'

🅰️ 17.7

More stats

Shots2/2 on target

Passes26%

Tackles3

Duels54%

9

9Á. HenríquezF · 59'

⚽ 16.9

More stats

Shots2/4 on target

Passes6%

Tackles1

Duels25%

14Felipe ChamorroM · 90'

🅰️ 1🟨6.2

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes19%

Tackles1

Duels38%

26Fernando DinamarcaD · 69'

6.9

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes18%

Tackles—

Duels50%

31José TapiaG · 90'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes12%

Tackles—

Duels—

6Sebastián DíazM · 90'

7.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes50%

Tackles1

Duels71%

21Bruno GutiérrezD · 90'

🟨5.6

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes19%

Tackles2

Duels45%

33Rafael DelgadoD · 90'

6.2

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes48%

Tackles—

Duels38%

8Gonzalo EscalanteM · 69'

7.2

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes48%

Tackles2

Duels71%

23Matías MarínM · 90'

⚽ 18.0

More stats

Shots2/3 on target

Passes28%

Tackles6

Duels78%

34Ian RassoD · 90'

6.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes38%

Tackles—

Duels50%

Bench (9)

3Matías Pérez SepúlvedaD

—

11Diego RubioF · 31'

7.0

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes11%

Tackles1

Duels75%

—

—

—

—

—

17Yahir SalazarD · 21'

6.0

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes1%

Tackles—

Duels0%

2Gonzalo Gabriel FigueroaF · 21'

6.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes4%

Tackles—

Duels29%

Cobresal

18Christian MorenoD · 90'

🟨5.2

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes25%

Tackles—

Duels29%

8Steffan PinoF · 76'

6.3

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes11%

Tackles—

Duels67%

39Janpol MoralesM · 76'

6.2

More stats

Shots1/2 on target

Passes13%

Tackles—

Duels46%

38Felipe VillagránM · 90'

🅰️ 17.7

More stats

Shots2/3 on target

Passes45%

Tackles1

Duels33%

36Matías OlguínG · 90'

7.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes7%

Tackles—

Duels—

20José Tiznado (C)D · 90'

6.9

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes24%

Tackles3

Duels75%

15Antonio CastilloD · 90'

6.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes19%

Tackles—

Duels80%

11Julián BreaM · 60'

⚽ 18.0

More stats

Shots2/2 on target

Passes6%

Tackles1

Duels80%

13Benjamín ValenzuelaM · 70'

🟨6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes21%

Tackles2

Duels33%

16Franco BechtholdtM · 90'

🟨6.9

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes25%

Tackles4

Duels58%

43Victor Manuel Campos MellaD · 76'

5.3

More stats

Shots0/1 on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels43%

Bench (9)

23Guillermo PachecoD

—

32

32F. FríasF · 20'

⚽ 17.3

More stats

Shots1/1 on target

Passes9%

Tackles—

Duels0%

37Martín EspinozaF · 14'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes2%

Tackles—

Duels25%

10Bryan CarvalloM · 14'

6.7

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes10%

Tackles—

Duels50%

7César YanisF · 30'

6.5

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes15%

Tackles—

Duels0%

22Aaron AstudilloD · 14'

6.3

More stats

Shots— on target

Passes5%

Tackles—

Duels25%

44Camilo SepúlvedaG

—

6Esteban ValenciaM

—

3Benjamín VillarroelD

—

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win D. La Serena vs Cobresal?+

Our AI model favors D. La Serena to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 23%, Cobresal 20%).

What time does D. La Serena vs Cobresal kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).